Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerCommunist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
Open$181Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) pre-election congress will be held tentatively on June 20, a party source told Vedomosti. First Deputy Chairman of the CPRF Central Committee Yuri Afonin told Vedomosti that the congress is tentatively scheduled for June 20–30. The congress will evaluate the candidates' performance in the internal party vote "People's Candidate of the CPRF" (held for the first time and beginning in April) and decide on the nomination of a list of single-mandate candidates, approving the party's program and strategy, Afonin said. Most likely, no innovations should be expected during the congress; only an imitation of harsher rhetoric is possible, notes Boris Makarenko, president of the Center for Political Technologies. "I don't expect anything new from them. The Communists performed poorly in the 2025 regional elections, and the perception of the Communists as the guaranteed number two party has been shaken," he reasons. Telegram | Max
NORussian Media98%match100¢-1%
Marketplaces may be used in the State Duma elections In the 2026 State Duma elections, marketplaces could be used to engage citizens in the electoral process, increase voter turnout, and boost United Russia's results. Three sources close to the presidential administration told Vedomosti that this option is being discussed. A similar project is aimed at collectively shaping the country's future, one of the interviewees clarifies, and has received the tentative title "Cards of the Future." Such "cards" can be embedded into the consumer's feed – it will be possible to "add" to the basket not only goods, but also "social options" – schools, public amenities, infrastructure – everything that the voter wants to see. Consumers who add cards to their cart will be offered sweepstakes and promo codes. Only after that will the link to United Russia's "people's program" and the incentive to mobilize for in-person and remote voting in September be established. Telegram | Max
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO12neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
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