Russia Parliamentary Election WinnerA Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$748KResolvedas of

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This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

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24 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NORussian state TV96%match
"A Just Russia" clears the 5% threshold after processing 96.95% of the votes. Thus, the party enters the State Duma via party lists.
NOkommersant.ru94%match
A Just Russia party enters the State Duma with 5% of the vote.
NORussian Media98%match
"A Just Russia" overcomes the 5% barrier to enter the State Duma after processing 96.91% of the protocols. "United Russia" receives 57.82% of the vote, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation - 13.76%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 9.01%, and "New People" - 7.96%. #elections2026 [in reply to: "United Russia" receives 57.83% of the vote in the State Duma elections after processing 95.22% of the protocols. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation receives 13.80%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia - 8.98%, and "New People" - 7.96%. "A Just Russia" receives 4.96% of the vote and does not pass the 5% barrier. #elections2026]
NOrtl.fr97%match100¢
Parliamentary elections in Russia: landslide victory for Putin's party, which wins a record number of seats in the Duma
NORussian Media98%match100¢
How the results of the elections in the DEG were distributed. Here, United Russia has 49%. According to the combined data, the party gained 57.8%. And A Just Russia has more than 5%. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: A Just Russia still has a good chance of overcoming the 5% barrier, Pamfilova said. The Central Election Commission plans to summarize the final results on September 25. By that time, the commissions will have reviewed all complaints and appeals, checked everything, and then announced the results, Pamfilova said. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android]
NONews92%match100¢
URGENTLY "A Just Russia" receives 4 preliminary parliamentary seats - Pamfilova
NONews92%match100¢
"A JUST RUSSIA" PRELIMINARY RECEIVES FOUR DEPUTY SEATS - PAMFILOVA
NORussian Media95%match100¢
"A Just Russia" still has a chance to overcome the five percent barrier, said Central Election Commission head Ella Pamfilova. More IZ RU news in MAX [in reply to: Voter turnout in the State Duma elections was 59.32%, said Central Election Commission head Ella Pamfilova. More than 62.6 million Russians took part in the vote. More IZ RU news in MAX]
NONews94%match100¢
"UNITED RUSSIA" AFTER COUNTING 95.18% OF THE PROTOCOLS, GAINED 57.83% OF THE VOTES IN THE DUMA ELECTIONS, THE CPRF - 13.81%, THE LDPR - 8.98%, "NEW PEOPLE" - 7.96%, "A JUST RUSSIA" - 4.96% - HEAD OF THE CEC
NORussian Media97%match100¢
United Russia wins 208 of 225 single-mandate constituencies. Candidates from the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) take first place in five constituencies, A Just Russia in four, the Liberal Democratic Party in two, and the Rodina party in one. In addition, independent candidates are leading in four single-mandate constituencies. More IZ RU news in MAX
NORussian Media98%match100¢
United Russia has received not just a constitutional majority in the 9th State Duma, but the largest faction in its history, according to the latest preliminary data published by the Central Election Commission. According to the party lists, after 94.41% of the protocols have been processed, United Russia has received 57.83% of the votes. Next comes the Communist Party of the Russian Federation, with 13.81% of the votes, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia with 8.96%, New People with 7.97%, and A Just Russia with 4.96%. The latter is currently below the 5% threshold and risks not getting into the State Duma. The votes of the parties that did not pass the 5% threshold are proportionally distributed among the new factions. If A Just Russia does manage to surpass the 5% mark, then United Russia, through party lists, will be able to secure 139 of the 225 parliamentary seats. In that case, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation will form the second-largest faction, with 33 seats. The LDPR will then have 22 seats, New People - 19, and A Just Russia - 12. But if Sergei Mironov's party does not get into the State Duma, the number of mandates for United Russia will increase to 147. A Duma without the A Just Russia faction will also mean that the Communist Party of the Russian Federation will receive 35 mandates, the LDPR - 23, and New People - 20. Single-mandate constituencies bring United Russia even more seats. Currently, the party is leading in 209 out of 225 constituencies. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF) has received five mandates, A Just Russia and independent candidates have received four each, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) has received two, and Rodina has received one. Thus, United Russia could receive between 348 and 356 seats in the State Duma. Previously, the largest faction in United Russia was the one formed following the 2016 elections, with 343 deputies. RBC app for iOS and Android RBC channel on Max
NOinterfax.com94%match100¢
A Just Russia failed to overcome the 5% threshold in the State Duma elections in the federal district after more than 95% of the ballots were processed.
NORussian Media98%match100¢
A Just Russia party has failed to secure a seat in the State Duma after more than 90% of the votes have been counted, according to the Central Election Commission. The party failed to secure the 5% needed to enter the lower house. According to current results, United Russia will form a majority in the State Duma. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia, and New People are also entering parliament. Voter turnout at the polls exceeded 56%. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
NOvedomosti.ru95%match100¢
A Just Russia party fails to enter the State Duma after more than 90% of the votes have been counted.
NOvesti.ru94%match100¢
A Just Russia party fails to enter the State Duma after more than 85% of the ballots have been processed.
NOIran Semi-Official ILNA97%match100¢
Putin's party wins decisive majority in Russian parliamentary elections The party, which won 57.8 percent of the vote, won a majority that could pave the way for constitutional reform.
NORussian Media98%match100¢
"A Just Russia" Doesn't Get 5% to Enter the State Duma After 82.19% of the protocols have been processed, "United Russia" has 57.76% of the votes in the State Duma elections The Communist Party of the Russian Federation has 13.89%, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia has 8.77%, New People has 7.97%, and "A Just Russia" has 4.99%. To enter the State Duma, it is necessary to get at least 5% of the votes. #elections2026
NORussian Media98%match100¢
Parliamentary elections concluded in Russia on the evening of September 20. According to preliminary data, the composition of the new State Duma will remain unchanged: exit polls and early results from the Far East suggest all five parliamentary parties will overcome the 5% threshold. The only notable change may be New People's move to fourth place, pushing A Just Russia down to fifth. However, turnout is likely to be a record for at least the past ten years. #elections2026
NOnews.tv-asahi.co.jp94%match100¢
Voting in Russian parliamentary elections concludes; ruling party achieves landslide victory, but independent media raise questions about election transparency.
NONews95%match100¢
ACCORDING TO PRELIMINARY RESULTS OF THE DEG IN THE ELECTIONS TO THE STATE DUMA IN THE FEDERAL DISTRICT, THE LDPR IS IN FOURTH PLACE (10.79%), FIFTH IS "A JUST RUSSIA" (5.75%), FOLLOWED BY THE PENSIONERS' PARTY (2.16%)
NOKremlin-adjacent channel93%match100¢
Sergei Mironov's so-called telephone interview with the Rossiya TV channel is a compilation of excerpts from interviews he gave in previous periods. "Zelensky is a Nazi, a scoundrel, and a bastard," Mironov "said" on television on September 16. It was very informative and interesting, and most importantly, he commented on exactly the same thing in, say, 2022. That same day, Rossiya 24 aired a "comment" by the leader of A Just Russia about the importance of participating in the elections. On September 9, Mironov allegedly commented on "the progress of Russian-American negotiations on Ukraine" to Rossiya 24. He never mentioned the names of US Presidential Envoy Steve Witkoff and US Presidential son-in-law Jared Kushner, who visited Moscow a few days ago, but referred to "Trump's peace plan." Indeed, in early September, Ukrainian media published details of "Trump's new peace plan," but the points "voiced" by Mironov on Russia 24 (Ukraine's non-aligned status, the withdrawal of troops from Russian-occupied regions, and the holding of elections) coincide with Trump's previous plan, which was published in November 2025. A Just Russia never presented its supporters with a living Mironov at the end of the election campaign. Mironov himself disappeared in late August after reports of an injury in the Altai Territory. Later, a source in the party claimed that Sergei Mironov was in the Central Clinical Hospital with a severe stroke and was on a ventilator. So far, it looks like bad news about Mironov will follow immediately after the election. Removing a leader from the ballot just days before the vote is too labor-intensive and thankless a task. According to the latest closed-source polling data, Mironov's party has suffered a significant loss of support and may not make it into the new State Duma.
NORussian Media98%match100¢
Only a quarter of experts are confident that the Just Russia faction will remain in the State Duma. This is stated in a study of party resources and strategies in the elections conducted by the Russian Association of Public Opinion (RASO). 60% believe that Just Russia will be able to overcome the 5% barrier. Not a single expert surveyed doubted the passage of United Russia (UR), the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (CPRF), the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR), and New People (NL). According to the party lists, experts predict UR will get 95-130 mandates, the Communist Party of the Russian Federation – 30-44, NL – 20-32, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia – 15-30, and SR – 10-18. The SR campaign is almost invisible, states Mikhail Vinogradov, president of the Petersburg Politics Foundation. In his opinion, most voters are surprised that such a party exists or remains afloat. "The party's only public political statement was criticism of internet restrictions, which was quite resonant, but, so to speak, had little impact," the political scientist believes. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
NORussian Media99%match99¢+1%
State Duma Deputy Speaker Alexander Babakov will run for election in the Smolensk region. One of the leaders of A Just Russia, State Duma Deputy Speaker Alexander Babakov, will likely run in a single-mandate constituency in one of the country's western regions. A source close to the presidential administration told Vedomosti this. He added that it's possible he'll run in the Smolensk region. A source close to the party's leadership also didn't rule out Babakov's nomination from the constituency. If this happens, it would effectively guarantee his reelection—even if SR itself doesn't get into parliament, notes one observer close to the party. Currently, the largest polling companies estimate the electoral rating of A Just Russia at between 4% and 5.8%. Babakov has been with A Just Russia since the party's inception; he is, in fact, one of its founders, notes Boris Makarenko, president of the Center for Political Technologies. This explains why he is so important to A Just Russia, he argues. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
NORussian Media99%match99¢+1%
Marketplaces may be used in the State Duma elections In the 2026 State Duma elections, marketplaces could be used to engage citizens in the electoral process, increase voter turnout, and boost United Russia's results. Three sources close to the presidential administration told Vedomosti that this option is being discussed. A similar project is aimed at collectively shaping the country's future, one of the interviewees clarifies, and has received the tentative title "Cards of the Future." Such "cards" can be embedded into the consumer's feed – it will be possible to "add" to the basket not only goods, but also "social options" – schools, public amenities, infrastructure – everything that the voter wants to see. Consumers who add cards to their cart will be offered sweepstakes and promo codes. Only after that will the link to United Russia's "people's program" and the incentive to mobilize for in-person and remote voting in September be established. Telegram | Max

Where does the news lean?

0YES51NO33neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

How did this market resolve?

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

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