What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? ↑ 5.0%
Open$18Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, maintaining the upper bound of the target range at 3.75%, in line with market expectations and unchanged from the previous level.
YESFinancialJuice98%match3¢-33%
Fed's Schmid: Additional Fed rate cuts might permit higher inflation to continue for a longer time. Current inflation rate indicates demand remains strong and surpasses improvements in supply.
NOCNBC99%match97¢+1%
Where to still find solid yields on cash as the Fed holds rate steady
Where does the news lean?
1YES5NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
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