What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? ↓ 1.5%
Open$28Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
[UPDATE] Federal Reserve decision as it happened: Trump calls for rates to be 1% or less after Fed tightens monetary policy (first reported at 2026-09-16T16:32:59Z)
Trump believes that interest rates in the United States should be lowered to 1% or even lower. He called on the Federal Reserve to take appropriate steps. "Lower interest rates for the United States of America, and fast!" Trump wrote on the social network
Truth Social. Earlier, at the September meeting, the Federal Reserve raised its key interest rate by 25 basis points for the first time in three years, setting it in the range of 3.75-4% per annum.
Fed unlikely to cut interest rates until 2027, Bank of America says
NOFirst Squawk98%match91¢+8%
FED’S HAMMACK SAYS IT’S IMPORTANT TO REACH 2% INFLATION BEFORE CHANGING RATES AGAIN.
Where does the news lean?
2YES6NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
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