What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? ↓ 0.75%
Open$731as of
Odds now
The market prices a 3% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES3¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
FED COULD HOLD RATES INTO 2027 • • The Federal Reserve could keep rates unchanged through 2026 and H1 2027, according to CreditSights. • • U.S. inflation eased to 3.4% in July from 3.5%, while wage growth slowed and payrolls weakened. • • Labor-market uncertainty could keep the Fed on hold in September and beyond. • • Markets currently price in one 25-bp rate hike in 2026, according to LSEG.
YESFinancialJuice98%match12¢-75%
Fed's Goolsbee: Realistic rates can come down a fair amount.
NOFinancialJuice98%match88¢+10%
Fed's Waller: The Fed can steadily lower rates, no rush
NOFinancialJuice98%match88¢+10%
Fed's Williams: I expect inflation to move to 2.5% in 2026, 2% in 2027.
Where does the news lean?
1YES5NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
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