What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? ↑ 4.75%
Open$80Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
WELLS FARGO NOW SEES FED HIKES • • Wells Fargo Investment Institute now expects the Fed to raise rates by 25 bps in 2026, reversing its previous forecast for no change. • • It also expects another 25-bp hike in 2027, taking the federal funds rate to 4.00%–4.25%. • • The shift marks a more hawkish outlook for U.S. monetary policy over the next 18 months.
NONews95%match96¢
The US Federal Reserve is expected to keep its key interest rate at 3.5-3.75% per annum, according to the regulator.
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
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