What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? ↑ 4.5%
Open$36Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 13% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES13¢
NO87¢
as of
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
WELLS FARGO NOW SEES FED HIKES • • Wells Fargo Investment Institute now expects the Fed to raise rates by 25 bps in 2026, reversing its previous forecast for no change. • • It also expects another 25-bp hike in 2027, taking the federal funds rate to 4.00%–4.25%. • • The shift marks a more hawkish outlook for U.S. monetary policy over the next 18 months.
NONews94%match92¢-5%
The US Federal Reserve is expected to keep its key interest rate at 3.5-3.75% per annum, according to the regulator.
FED RATE HIKE ODDS SURGE IN PREDICTION MARKETS • • Prediction markets now price a 53% chance of a U.S. Federal Reserve rate hike before July 2027, with odds jumping sharply in recent trading. • • With the next policy window just 49 days away (June 30), activity has picked up fast • Traders are now split on timing: will the Fed move sooner than expected, or wait longer? •
Traders add to bets on Fed rate hike in 2027, now see 45% chance - CME Fedwatch Data
The US Federal Reserve: We have kept interest rates at their current level, which is between 3.5 and 3.75 percent.
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, maintaining the upper bound of the target range at 3.75%, in line with market expectations and unchanged from the previous level.
Traders push out bets on Fed rate cut to April 2027, according to Rate-Future pricing.
The Federal Reserve announced its interest rate decision, setting the upper bound at 3.75%, in line with market expectations of 3.75% and unchanged from the previous level of 3.75%. • •
YESFinancialJuice98%match5¢+160%
Fed's Schmid: Additional Fed rate cuts might permit higher inflation to continue for a longer time. Current inflation rate indicates demand remains strong and surpasses improvements in supply.
NOFinancialJuice98%match95¢-8%
Fed's Schmid: Additional Fed rate cuts might permit higher inflation to continue for a longer time.
Where does the news lean?
7YES11NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
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