What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? ↓ 2.0%
Open$19Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Fed unlikely to cut interest rates until 2027, Bank of America says
FED'S WILLIAMS EXPECTS INFLATION TO REACH 2% TARGET BY 2027. ...
NOzerohedge99%match87¢+9%
Market Bets Soar That Fed Will Cut Rates To 2% In 2027
YESThe Hill98%match13¢-62%
Mortgage rates drop to the lowest level since 2022
NOBloomberg98%match86¢+10%
Fed Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said the US central bank can cut interest rates further if inflation is on track to reach its 2% target, but that’s not currently the case
NOCNBC98%match87¢+9%
Where to still find solid yields on cash as the Fed holds rate steady
Where does the news lean?
1YES6NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
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