Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?Susie Wiles
Open$55Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 27% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES27¢
NO74¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
New: White House is in discussions about bringing on Jason Miller to help with midterm strategy, while former Trump adviser Johnny DeStefano is set to join as an unpaid special government employee reporting to Susie Wiles, focused on midterms. w/ @iarnsdorf •
NEW: Susie wiles and James Blair are convening dozens of political operatives at the Waldorf Astoria on Monday to prepare for the midterms. The gathering is aimed at sharing data and strategy & aligning on how best to support candidates.
NEW: Susie wiles and James Blair are convening dozens of political operatives from across the country at the Waldorf Astoria on Monday to prepare for the midterms. The gathering is aimed at sharing data and strategy & aligning on how best to support candidates.
Where does the news lean?
2YES4NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
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