Who will advance from the California Governor primary?Steve Hilton
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$491Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
16 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Another poll finds Xavier Becerra (D) more firmly holding the 2nd top-two spot in California. • • He now sits at about 19% in DDHQ's #CAGov polling average, just behind Steve Hilton (R) at 21%. • • Tom Steyer (D) is in third with 14%, followed by Chad Bianco (R) with 13%.
CA voters face a ballot w/61 names. Steve Hilton is front-runner and had the sunny optimism and experience to lead what is approaching a failed state after 16 years of Democratic rule including supermajorities. Becerra, Steyer and Porter —the bland, the unlikeable and the toxic— vying for second place. Chad Bianco not out of it. But even though election “day” is June 2, CA’s counting is so screwed up we will be lucky to know second place by July.
GOP’s Steve Hilton surges in California governor race, leads by 17 points in new poll | @MorningsMaria @FoxBusiness
Trump Endorses Steve Hilton In California Gubernatorial Primary
Matt Mahan slams Trump endorsement of GOP rival Steve Hilton
Trump endorses ex-UK political strategist Steve Hilton for California governor
Trump endorses ex-Fox News host Steve Hilton in California governor’s race
Trump endorses Steve Hilton in California governor’s race
Trump endorses Steve Hilton in California governor's race
President Trump backs Republican Steve Hilton for California governor overnight. • • Republicans had been hoping multiple Democratic candidate would split the vote in the primary, making way for 2 Republicans to advance. Trump’s endorsement makes that much less likely. #CAGOV
Trump endorses Republican Steve Hilton in California governor’s race
Trump endorses Steve Hilton in California governor's race
Trump endorses former British government aide Steve Hilton in California governor’s race
Steve Hilton is leading all polling aggregators in the California gubernatorial jungle primary. • • The top two candidates go through to the general election. • • The banter outcome (two republicans making it through in a D+20 state) is increasingly possible thanks to a split dem field
NOPolymarket99%match36¢-100%
[Replying to @LeadingReport] @LeadingReport California Governor Election winner: Eric Swalwell - 50% Matt Mahan - 17% Steve Hilton - 13% Tom Steyer - 10% >
YESzerohedge98%match40¢+150%
CALIFORNIA POLL: Governor (top two advance) - Katie Porter internal Chad Bianco - 18% Steve Hilton - 17% Katie Porter - 14% Eric Swalwell - 11% Tom Steyer - 8% Xavier Becerra - 6% Matt Mahan - 5% A. Villaraigosa - 2% T. Thurmond - 1%
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PPP (Dem) |…
Where does the news lean?
16YES1NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
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