Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election WinnerSPD
ResolvedOutcome: No$882Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Ergebnis der Mecklenburg-Vorpommern-Wahl: AfD siegt vor SPD, CDU fliegt aus Landtag
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern: Offiziell – AfD gewinnt Wahl vor SPD, CDU verpasst Landtagseinzug
Election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: The SPD's jubilation is stifled.
Election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: The result is a success for the SPD. Nevertheless, tears are flowing.
NONews97%match86¢+16%
The AfD is leading the parliamentary elections in the German state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania with 37% of the votes, while the SPD is in second place with 35.5% of the votes - exit poll
Where does the news lean?
5YES9NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Related markets
See all outcomes for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.