Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election WinnerAfD
Open$132Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 92% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES92¢
NO9¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
AfD significantly widens gap with CDU/CSU in poll – Greens and SPD mathematically secure seats in state parliament
Umfrage: AfD legt in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern zu – Chance für rot-rot-grüne Koalition wächst
Poll: AfD gains ground in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania – red-red-green coalition mathematically possible
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: AfD enters the election campaign with less money than Schwesig – and still leads the polls
AfD Opens 20-Point Lead a Month Before Crucial State Elections •
Where does the news lean?
6YES0NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
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