Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election WinnerCDU
ResolvedOutcome: No$46Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
16 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
The Left Party won 25.3% of the vote, followed by the Christian Democrats (CDU) with 19% and the Alternative for Germany (AfD) with 16%. The Social Democrats (SPD) won 12.1%.
Ergebnis der Mecklenburg-Vorpommern-Wahl: AfD siegt vor SPD, CDU fliegt aus Landtag
Preliminary result: AfD wins in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania - debacle for the CDU
"Desaster" for Merz‘s Conservative CDU party just got worse: • CDU fails to make 5% threshold in an election for the first time in its modern history in Mecklenburg-West Pomerania. • All votes counted. No CDU seats in MV regional Parliament. • More pressure on Merz.
The AfD party won the parliamentary elections in the German state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern with 38.2% of the vote after 100% of the votes were processed, the German Electoral Commission reported. Merz's CDU failed to qualify for parliament, receiving only 4.9%. More IZ RU news in MAX
The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has won the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state parliament elections with 38.2% of the vote after 100% of the votes were processed, according to the election commission. Chancellor Friedrich Merz's CDU has failed to enter the regional parliament for the first time in German history, receiving less than 5%. Earlier, Merz called his party's performance in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections a disaster.
NONews96%match100¢
Merz's CDU fails to qualify for the parliamentary elections in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania in Germany, receiving only 4.9% after 100% of the votes were counted - ELECTION COMMISSION
The CDU fails to enter the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state parliament.
CDU suffers a collapse in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania – Left Party ahead in Berlin
The seat distribution in the Schwerin state parliament according to the current results from the state election office (almost all votes counted). No CDU in a German parliament. Shocking.
AfD leads in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections, Merz calls CDU result a disaster
NONews94%match100¢
Merz called the results of the regional parliamentary elections in the state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania a disaster for his CDU party.
Live: #GERMANY Note that this election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is turning into a thrashing for the CDU, the party of the ruling Chancellor Friedrich Merz...
NOReuters97%match100¢
German Chancellor Merz’s CDU Projected to Win 5.5% in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania State Election - Exit Poll
State elections: CDU politicians in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania fear failing to clear the five percent hurdle
Poll in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: CDU is getting ever closer to the 5 percent hurdle
Where does the news lean?
1YES32NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
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