SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)<500B
ResolvedOutcome: No$438Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESFirst Squawk98%match2¢-100%
Musk's Mars mission adds risk to red-hot SpaceX IPO
YESReuters98%match2¢-100%
Musk's Mars mission adds risk to red-hot SpaceX IPO
NOBloomberg98%match98¢+2%
SpaceX has authorized an insider share sale that values Elon Musk’s rocket and satellite maker at about $800 billion, according to a company message seen by Bloomberg
YESReuters98%match2¢-100%
Musk's Mars mission adds risk to red-hot SpaceX IPO
NOBenzinga98%match97¢+3%
[Replying to @niccruzpatane] @niccruzpatane > If SpaceX goes public via an IPO with a market cap of $1.5 trillion, the value of Elon Musk’s stake would grow to $630 Billion. He will essentially become the world’s first Trillionaire.
NOPolymarket99%match98¢+2%
BREAKING: 67% chance SpaceX IPO closes at > $1 trillion market cap, could be largest in history.
NOStocktwits98%match98¢+2%
If SpaceX were to IPO at a $1.5 trillion valuation, Elon Musk's 42% ownership stake would be worth roughly $630 billion $TSLA $SPACEX [Quoting @Stocktwits]
> How the top 12 companies by market cap would look if SpaceX IPO’d at $1.5 trillion. $NVDA $AAPL $GOOGL $MSFT $AMZN $AVGO $META $TSM $TSLA $BRK.B $BRK.A $SPACEX
NOStocktwits99%match98¢+2%
An IPO at $1.5 trillion would make SpaceX the 10th largest company by market cap, just ahead of Tesla at $1.48 trillion and well ahead of Berkshire Hathaway at $1.06 trillion. $TSLA $BRK.B $BRK.A
NOFinancialJuice99%match98¢+2%
SpaceX sees valuation of about $1.5 trln in public offering.
Where does the news lean?
3YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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