SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)800B–900B
ResolvedOutcome: No$594Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
YESBenzinga98%match6¢-100%
[Replying to @DimaZeniuk] @DimaZeniuk > SpaceX has completed a tender offer valuing the company at $800 billion, with shares priced at $421, according to Bloomberg
YESReuters99%match7¢-100%
SpaceX insider share sale sets $800 billion valuation amid possible IPO, letter shows
YESReuters99%match7¢-100%
SpaceX insider share sale sets $800 billion valuation amid possible IPO, letter shows
YESThe New York Times98%match6¢-100%
Breaking News: SpaceX offered to buy shares from employees in a deal that would value it at around $800 billion as it prepares to go public.
YESBloomberg98%match6¢-100%
SpaceX has authorized an insider share sale that values Elon Musk’s rocket and satellite maker at about $800 billion, according to a company message seen by Bloomberg
NOPolymarket99%match94¢+6%
69% chance of a $1 Trillion+ SpaceX IPO.
NOReuters98%match94¢+6%
Billionaire Elon Musk has hinted at a possible SpaceX IPO in a post on X. Industry experts say the move could see the company valued at over a trillion dollars. More on Reuters World News
NOBenzinga99%match93¢+8%
SpaceX is drawing renewed attention as reports suggest the company could pursue a blockbuster IPO in 2026. A recent Bloomberg story said the offering could raise more than thirty billion dollars and value the company at roughly one and a half trillion dollars. That would make…
YESReuters98%match8¢-100%
From Breakingviews - Breakingviews - SpaceX $1 trln IPO would rely on psychedelic blast
NOBloomberg98%match94¢+6%
Today in Bloomberg Deals: A SpaceX IPO could spur a $2.9 trillion “centicorn” wave, plus Rheinmetall is angling for a European defense champion and the Warner Bros. takeover fight promises lots more drama.
NOBenzinga99%match94¢+6%
[Replying to @Benzinga] SpaceX is drawing renewed attention as reports suggest the company could pursue a blockbuster IPO in 2026. A recent Bloomberg story said the offering could raise more than thirty billion dollars and value the company at roughly one and a half trillion dollars. That would make… >
NOBloomberg98%match94¢+6%
Elon Musk could more than double his $460.6 billion fortune if SpaceX succeeds in going public at a valuation of $1.5 trillion. See how a giant listing would push the world's richest man close to trillionaire status: : Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg
NOBloomberg98%match94¢+6%
Elon Musk could more than double his $460.6 billion fortune if SpaceX succeeds in going public at a valuation of $1.5 trillion. See how a giant listing would push the world's richest man close to trillionaire status: : Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg
NOReuters Business98%match94¢+6%
WATCH: SpaceX is pursuing an initial public offering to raise over $25 billion with a valuation topping $1 trillion as the company begins talks with banks about a public listing
NOPolymarket99%match94¢+6%
BREAKING: 67% chance SpaceX IPO closes at > $1 trillion market cap, could be largest in history.
NOReuters98%match94¢+6%
SpaceX is seeking a public listing valued above $1 trillion to fund new space-based data centers and chip purchases as industry sources say revenue is set to surge
NOStocktwits98%match94¢+6%
If SpaceX were to IPO at a $1.5 trillion valuation, Elon Musk's 42% ownership stake would be worth roughly $630 billion $TSLA $SPACEX [Quoting @Stocktwits]
> How the top 12 companies by market cap would look if SpaceX IPO’d at $1.5 trillion. $NVDA $AAPL $GOOGL $MSFT $AMZN $AVGO $META $TSM $TSLA $BRK.B $BRK.A $SPACEX
NOReuters Business98%match95¢+5%
WATCH: SpaceX is seeking a public listing valued above $1 trillion to fund new space-based data centers and chip purchases as industry sources say revenue is set to surge
NOReuters98%match94¢+6%
SpaceX is pursuing an initial public offering to raise over $25 billion with a valuation topping $1 trillion as the company begins talks with banks about a public listing
NOBloomberg99%match94¢+6%
An IPO of $30 billion-plus for SpaceX would be a fresh test of just how much an appetite stock investors have for backing Elon Musk
NOPolymarket99%match94¢+6%
BREAKING: SpaceX seeking to raise $30 billion in IPO. 45% chance its closing market cap surpasses $1,000,000,000,000.00
YESFirst Squawk99%match6¢-100%
SPACEX IS TARGETING A MID-TO-LATE 2026 IPO, EXPECTS $15B IN 2025 SALES AND $22–24B IN 2026, AND IS SEEKING A $1.5T VALUATION WHILE PLANNING TO RAISE WELL OVER $30B.
NOThe Spectator Index99%match94¢+6%
BREAKING: SpaceX is planning to go public next year at $1.5 trillion valuation, making it the biggest IPO in history, according to Bloomberg report.
NOStocktwits99%match94¢+6%
SpaceX IPO next year? Yes, please. @PolymarketMoney [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> SpaceX is reportedly targeting a 2026 IPO that could raise well over $30B at a $1.5T valuation
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match94¢+6%
*SPACEX SAID TO PURSUE 2026 IPO RAISING FAR ABOVE $30 BILLION *SPACEX SEES VALUATION OF ABOUT $1.5 TRILLION IN PUBLIC OFFERING
NOWatcher.Guru99%match94¢+6%
JUST IN: SpaceX plans to go public at $1.5 trillion valuation in 2026, the largest IPO in history, Bloomberg reports.
NOzerohedge98%match94¢+6%
*SPACEX SAID TO PURSUE 2026 IPO RAISING FAR ABOVE $30 BILLION *SPACEX SEES VALUATION OF ABOUT $1.5 TRILLION IN PUBLIC OFFERING
NOFinancialJuice99%match94¢+6%
SpaceX sees valuation of about $1.5 trln in public offering.
NOReuters98%match87¢+15%
Musk denies $800 billion SpaceX valuation reports
NOReuters Business98%match80¢+25%
Musk denies $800 billion SpaceX valuation reports
Where does the news lean?
8YES23NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Related markets
See all outcomes for SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.