SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)1T+
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$853Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
46 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Why CFOs should pay attention to Elon Musk’s SpaceX IPO—and its rumored $1.5 trillion market cap. • Musk’s record IPO pitch leans on massive capex, thin profits, and a very long runway.
YESPolymarket99%match78¢+28%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter 80% chance the SpaceX IPO closes above $1 trillion. > BREAKING: SpaceX is set to hire Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley to lead its IPO in 2026, per FT. The IPO is expected to be valued as much as $1.5 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history.
YESBenzinga99%match74¢+35%
[Replying to @Teslaconomics] @Teslaconomics > I honestly believe SpaceX is going to be the BIGGEST IPO the stock market has ever seen and I don’t think the market and many people fully understands what’s coming yet. People keep throwing around numbers like $1-1.5 trillion, which already sounds massive (Tesla’s market cap…
YESBenzinga99%match66¢+52%
SpaceX is targeting a mid-to-late 2026 IPO with a staggering $1.5 trillion valuation That would place it far ahead of today’s most valuable private companies - including OpenAI, ByteDance, and Anthropic - and make it one of the largest public market debuts ever.
YESBenzinga98%match66¢+52%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter > BREAKING: SpaceX has initiated a bake-off to select which investment banks will be the advisors for their IPO which is expected in 2026. Elon Musk is expected to become the world's first trillionaire within the next 12 months.
YESCNBC99%match65¢+54%
SpaceX could be the biggest IPO ever next year. How investors can play it right now
NOBloomberg98%match34¢-100%
Alphabet Inc. is set to book another sizable paper gain after SpaceX completes a tender offer that effectively values the closely held company at about $800 billion.
NOReuters99%match32¢-100%
SpaceX insider share sale sets $800 billion valuation amid possible IPO, letter shows
NOReuters99%match32¢-100%
SpaceX insider share sale sets $800 billion valuation amid possible IPO, letter shows
NOFirst Squawk98%match31¢-100%
Musk's Mars mission adds risk to red-hot SpaceX IPO
NOtradfi news98%match32¢-100%
*SPACEX: UNCERTAIN ON IPO TIMING, VALUATION, WHETHER IT HAPPENS *SPACEX: IPO FUNDS WOULD HELP DEPLOY DATA CENTERS IN SPACE
YESPolymarket99%match69¢+45%
69% chance of a $1 Trillion+ SpaceX IPO.
NOBenzinga98%match32¢-100%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter > SpaceX is about to be the most incredible IPO of all time. THREE times the current valuation of OpenAI. 2026 is going to be a huge year.
YESBenzinga99%match68¢+47%
[Replying to @niccruzpatane] @niccruzpatane > If SpaceX goes public via an IPO with a market cap of $1.5 trillion, the value of Elon Musk’s stake would grow to $630 Billion. He will essentially become the world’s first Trillionaire.
YESBenzinga99%match68¢+47%
[Replying to @Benzinga] Elon Musk is already the world’s richest person with an estimated $465 billion net worth. A potential SpaceX IPO in 2026 could push him dangerously close to becoming the first trillionaire. Reports suggest SpaceX is targeting a $1.5 trillion valuation and could raise more than… >
YESBenzinga99%match68¢+47%
[Replying to @Benzinga] > Elon Musk is already the world’s richest person with an estimated $465 billion net worth. A potential SpaceX IPO in 2026 could push him dangerously close to becoming the first trillionaire. Reports suggest SpaceX is targeting a $1.5 trillion valuation and could raise more than…
YESBloomberg98%match67¢+49%
To buy into SpaceX’s audacious $1.5 trillion valuation in a listing next year, investors will need to have faith in Elon Musk’s galactic vision for his rocket and satellite maker
YESReuters99%match67¢+49%
Billionaire Elon Musk has hinted at a possible SpaceX IPO in a post on X. Industry experts say the move could see the company valued at over a trillion dollars. More on Reuters World News
NOReuters99%match34¢-100%
Breakingviews - SpaceX $1 trln IPO would rely on psychedelic blast
YESBenzinga99%match66¢+52%
SpaceX is drawing renewed attention as reports suggest the company could pursue a blockbuster IPO in 2026. A recent Bloomberg story said the offering could raise more than thirty billion dollars and value the company at roughly one and a half trillion dollars. That would make…
NOReuters98%match36¢-100%
From Breakingviews - Breakingviews - SpaceX $1 trln IPO would rely on psychedelic blast
YESBenzinga98%match67¢+49%
[Replying to @Benzinga] >
YESBenzinga99%match67¢+49%
[Replying to @Benzinga] SpaceX is drawing renewed attention as reports suggest the company could pursue a blockbuster IPO in 2026. A recent Bloomberg story said the offering could raise more than thirty billion dollars and value the company at roughly one and a half trillion dollars. That would make… >
YESBloomberg98%match67¢+49%
Elon Musk could more than double his $460.6 billion fortune if SpaceX succeeds in going public at a valuation of $1.5 trillion. See how a giant listing would push the world's richest man close to trillionaire status: : Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg
YESBloomberg98%match67¢+49%
Elon Musk could more than double his $460.6 billion fortune if SpaceX succeeds in going public at a valuation of $1.5 trillion. See how a giant listing would push the world's richest man close to trillionaire status: : Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg
YESReuters Business98%match67¢+49%
WATCH: SpaceX is pursuing an initial public offering to raise over $25 billion with a valuation topping $1 trillion as the company begins talks with banks about a public listing
YESAxios99%match67¢+49%
SpaceX preps a 2026 IPO, potentially the largest ever.
YESPolymarket99%match67¢+49%
BREAKING: 67% chance SpaceX IPO closes at > $1 trillion market cap, could be largest in history.
YESReuters99%match67¢+49%
SpaceX is seeking a public listing valued above $1 trillion to fund new space-based data centers and chip purchases as industry sources say revenue is set to surge
YESStocktwits99%match67¢+49%
If SpaceX were to IPO at a $1.5 trillion valuation, Elon Musk's 42% ownership stake would be worth roughly $630 billion $TSLA $SPACEX [Quoting @Stocktwits]
> How the top 12 companies by market cap would look if SpaceX IPO’d at $1.5 trillion. $NVDA $AAPL $GOOGL $MSFT $AMZN $AVGO $META $TSM $TSLA $BRK.B $BRK.A $SPACEX
YESzerohedge98%match66¢+52%
SpaceX Reportedly Targeting 2026 IPO That Could Rival Saudi Aramco's Historic Listing
YESReuters Business98%match66¢+52%
WATCH: SpaceX is seeking a public listing valued above $1 trillion to fund new space-based data centers and chip purchases as industry sources say revenue is set to surge
YESReuters99%match66¢+52%
SpaceX is pursuing an initial public offering to raise over $25 billion with a valuation topping $1 trillion as the company begins talks with banks about a public listing
NOBloomberg99%match34¢-100%
An IPO of $30 billion-plus for SpaceX would be a fresh test of just how much an appetite stock investors have for backing Elon Musk
YESunusual_whales99%match45¢+122%
NEW: Elon Musk's SpaceX is reportedly seeking to raise $30 billion in IPO, with a public offering slated in 2026. It would value the company at $1.5 trillion. Elon Musk owns ~42% of SpaceX.
YESStocktwits99%match45¢+122%
An IPO at $1.5 trillion would make SpaceX the 10th largest company by market cap, just ahead of Tesla at $1.48 trillion and well ahead of Berkshire Hathaway at $1.06 trillion. $TSLA $BRK.B $BRK.A
NOPolymarket99%match55¢-100%
BREAKING: SpaceX seeking to raise $30 billion in IPO. 45% chance its closing market cap surpasses $1,000,000,000,000.00
NOPolymarket99%match55¢-100%
BREAKING: SpaceX seeking to raise $30 billion in IPO. 41% chance its closing market cap surpasses $1,000,000,000,000.00
YESBenzinga99%match28¢+257%
SpaceX could go public in 2026 at a valuation of $1.5 trillion, the same value of Tesla today. Which of the following would you rather invest in for the next 10 years?
YESThe Spectator Index99%match28¢+257%
BREAKING: SpaceX is planning to go public next year at $1.5 trillion valuation, making it the biggest IPO in history, according to Bloomberg report.
YESStocktwits99%match28¢+257%
SpaceX IPO next year? Yes, please. @PolymarketMoney [Quoting @PolymarketMoney]
> SpaceX is reportedly targeting a 2026 IPO that could raise well over $30B at a $1.5T valuation
YESFirst Squawk99%match28¢+257%
SPACEX IS SAID TO BE PLANNING A 2026 IPO THAT COULD RAISE WELL ABOVE $30 BILLION, TARGETING A $1.5 TRILLION VALUATION.
YES*Walter Bloomberg98%match28¢+257%
*SPACEX SAID TO PURSUE 2026 IPO RAISING FAR ABOVE $30 BILLION *SPACEX SEES VALUATION OF ABOUT $1.5 TRILLION IN PUBLIC OFFERING
YESWatcher.Guru99%match28¢+257%
JUST IN: SpaceX plans to go public at $1.5 trillion valuation in 2026, the largest IPO in history, Bloomberg reports.
YESzerohedge98%match28¢+257%
*SPACEX SAID TO PURSUE 2026 IPO RAISING FAR ABOVE $30 BILLION *SPACEX SEES VALUATION OF ABOUT $1.5 TRILLION IN PUBLIC OFFERING
YESFinancialJuice99%match28¢+257%
SpaceX sees valuation of about $1.5 trln in public offering.
Where does the news lean?
37YES13NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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