SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

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This hub tracks 8 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

1T+100%

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

700B–800Bft.com99%match100¢
SpaceX boosts IPO ambition with plans to raise $75bn
500B–600Bstockmktnewz99%match100¢
SpaceX is considering a fundraising target in its IPO that would dwarf the previous largest ever debut • • SpaceX is reportedly weighing a ballpark figure of ~$75 billion in its IPO - Bloomberg
SpaceX is considering a fundraising target in its IPO that would dwarf the previous largest ever debut • • SpaceX is reportedly weighing a ballpark figure of ~$75 billion in its IPO - Bloomberg
600B–700Bstockmktnewz99%match100¢
SpaceX is considering a fundraising target in its IPO that would dwarf the previous largest ever debut • • SpaceX is reportedly weighing a ballpark figure of ~$75 billion in its IPO - Bloomberg
500B–600Bfirstsquawk99%match100¢
SPACEX IPO COULD BREAK RECORDS • • SpaceX may file for an IPO as early as this week, according to The Information, aiming to raise $75B+ with a potential June listing. • • The move is highly anticipated, especially after its merger with xAI, valuing the combined business at $1.25T. Some estimates suggest it could target a $1.75T valuation.
900B–1Tfirstsquawk99%match99¢+1%
SPACEX IPO COULD BREAK RECORDS • • SpaceX may file for an IPO as early as this week, according to The Information, aiming to raise $75B+ with a potential June listing. • • The move is highly anticipated, especially after its merger with xAI, valuing the combined business at $1.25T. Some estimates suggest it could target a $1.75T valuation.
700B–800Bfirstsquawk99%match100¢
SPACEX IPO COULD BREAK RECORDS • • SpaceX may file for an IPO as early as this week, according to The Information, aiming to raise $75B+ with a potential June listing. • • The move is highly anticipated, especially after its merger with xAI, valuing the combined business at $1.25T. Some estimates suggest it could target a $1.75T valuation.
SPACEX IPO COULD BREAK RECORDS • • SpaceX may file for an IPO as early as this week, according to The Information, aiming to raise $75B+ with a potential June listing. • • The move is highly anticipated, especially after its merger with xAI, valuing the combined business at $1.25T. Some estimates suggest it could target a $1.75T valuation.
900B–1TWalter Bloomberg99%match99¢+1%
SPACEX IPO COULD BREAK RECORDS • • SpaceX may file for an IPO as early as this week, according to The Information, aiming to raise $75B+ with a potential June listing. • • The move is highly anticipated, especially after its merger with xAI, valuing the combined business at $1.25T. Some estimates suggest it could target a $1.75T valuation.
SPACEX IPO COULD BREAK RECORDS • • SpaceX may file for an IPO as early as this week, according to The Information, aiming to raise $75B+ with a potential June listing. • • The move is highly anticipated, especially after its merger with xAI, valuing the combined business at $1.25T. Some estimates suggest it could target a $1.75T valuation.
500B–600Bfirstsquawk99%match99¢+1%
SpaceX may target over $75 billion in IPO fundraising, according to The Information.
SpaceX may target over $75 billion in IPO fundraising, according to The Information.
No IPO before 2028Reuters98%match94¢+6%
SpaceX Last Valued at $1.25 Trillion, Won’t Decide the Actual Size of the Offering and a Valuation Until a Few Weeks Before the IPO- the Information
500B–600BReuters99%match99¢+1%
SpaceX Could Try to Raise More Than $75 Billion in the IPO- the Information
600B–700BReuters99%match99¢+1%
SpaceX Could Try to Raise More Than $75 Billion in the IPO- the Information
700B–800BReuters99%match0¢
SpaceX Could Try to Raise More Than $75 Billion in the IPO- the Information
1T+fortune.com99%match93¢+8%
Why CFOs should pay attention to Elon Musk’s SpaceX IPO—and its rumored $1.5 trillion market cap. • Musk’s record IPO pitch leans on massive capex, thin profits, and a very long runway.
900B–1Tfortune.com99%match99¢+1%
Why CFOs should pay attention to Elon Musk’s SpaceX IPO—and its rumored $1.5 trillion market cap. • Musk’s record IPO pitch leans on massive capex, thin profits, and a very long runway.
1T+Polymarket99%match78¢+28%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter 80% chance the SpaceX IPO closes above $1 trillion. > BREAKING: SpaceX is set to hire Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley to lead its IPO in 2026, per FT. The IPO is expected to be valued as much as $1.5 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history.
900B–1TPolymarket99%match97¢+3%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter 80% chance the SpaceX IPO closes above $1 trillion. > BREAKING: SpaceX is set to hire Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley to lead its IPO in 2026, per FT. The IPO is expected to be valued as much as $1.5 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history.
1T+Benzinga99%match74¢+35%
[Replying to @Teslaconomics] @Teslaconomics > I honestly believe SpaceX is going to be the BIGGEST IPO the stock market has ever seen and I don’t think the market and many people fully understands what’s coming yet. People keep throwing around numbers like $1-1.5 trillion, which already sounds massive (Tesla’s market cap…
1T+Benzinga99%match66¢+52%
SpaceX is targeting a mid-to-late 2026 IPO with a staggering $1.5 trillion valuation That would place it far ahead of today’s most valuable private companies - including OpenAI, ByteDance, and Anthropic - and make it one of the largest public market debuts ever.
No IPO before 2028The Economist98%match87¢+15%
They could remain private and risk running out of the capital needed to stay ahead. Or they go public and risk markets’ impatience over profits. Either way, their lofty valuations will soon be put to the test
No IPO before 2028Bloomberg99%match87¢+15%
The IPO could drive investment in other businesses across the category.
800B–900BBenzinga98%match6¢-100%
[Replying to @DimaZeniuk] @DimaZeniuk > SpaceX has completed a tender offer valuing the company at $800 billion, with shares priced at $421, according to Bloomberg
1T+Benzinga98%match66¢+52%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter > BREAKING: SpaceX has initiated a bake-off to select which investment banks will be the advisors for their IPO which is expected in 2026. Elon Musk is expected to become the world's first trillionaire within the next 12 months.
1T+CNBC99%match65¢+54%
SpaceX could be the biggest IPO ever next year. How investors can play it right now
No IPO before 2028CNBC99%match86¢+16%
SpaceX could be the biggest IPO ever next year. How investors can play it right now
No IPO before 2028Axios98%match86¢+16%
Boring companies are going public again, which may be an even stronger signal for the 2026 IPO market than is SpaceX.
1T+Bloomberg98%match34¢-100%
Alphabet Inc. is set to book another sizable paper gain after SpaceX completes a tender offer that effectively values the closely held company at about $800 billion.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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