SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)600B–700B

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$345KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOReuters99%match98¢+2%
SpaceX insider share sale sets $800 billion valuation amid possible IPO, letter shows
NOReuters99%match99¢+1%
SpaceX insider share sale sets $800 billion valuation amid possible IPO, letter shows
NOBloomberg98%match98¢+2%
SpaceX has authorized an insider share sale that values Elon Musk’s rocket and satellite maker at about $800 billion, according to a company message seen by Bloomberg
NOReuters98%match98¢+2%
Billionaire Elon Musk has hinted at a possible SpaceX IPO in a post on X. Industry experts say the move could see the company valued at over a trillion dollars. More on Reuters World News
NOzerohedge98%match99¢+1%
SpaceX Reportedly Targeting 2026 IPO That Could Rival Saudi Aramco's Historic Listing
NOPolymarket99%match95¢+5%
BREAKING: SpaceX seeking to raise $30 billion in IPO. 45% chance its closing market cap surpasses $1,000,000,000,000.00
NOFirst Squawk99%match94¢+6%
SPACEX IS TARGETING A MID-TO-LATE 2026 IPO, EXPECTS $15B IN 2025 SALES AND $22–24B IN 2026, AND IS SEEKING A $1.5T VALUATION WHILE PLANNING TO RAISE WELL OVER $30B.

Where does the news lean?

0YES9NO2neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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