Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?Shas
Open$47Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 29% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES29¢
NO71¢
as of
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Between Arab rejection and Shas's support for Netanyahu: How will Eisenkot extricate himself from the government impasse? Eisenkot is counting on winning over the two ultra-Orthodox parties, Shas and United Torah Judaism, to form a government without relying on Arab members of parliament. The two parties joining would increase his bloc's seats from 48 to 61, whereas the participation of either one alone would not be enough. However, Shas has declared its support for Netanyahu, while United Torah Judaism has not yet decided its position. Eisenkot faces a dilemma between his allies' commitments regarding the conscription of ultra-Orthodox Jews and his need for their votes to reach power. More details in the following report
Israeli Broadcasting Authority on Shas party: We will recommend to the president that Netanyahu be tasked with forming the government. #Breaking #Here_is_the_Kingdom
*Shas Movement in a statement:* In light of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's clear and uncompromising announcement of his continued support and commitment to regulating the status of Torah scholars, the Shas Council of Torah Scholars has decided to recommend him to the President of the State as a candidate to form the government. The hypocrisy of the left-wing parties is blatant, after they led an unprecedented campaign of slander, defamation, and persecution against the Haredi sector and Torah scholars, who are the bedrock of the existence of the Jewish people.
Shas' recommendation of Netanyahu is a predictable event The interesting question: Is Shas closing the door to an Eisenkot-Haredi government and taking this possibility off the table? For now, it is not doing that
Shas: We will recommend Netanyahu as a candidate to form the government
Shas: We will recommend Netanyahu as a candidate to form the government
@udihazoref
Shas announced: We will recommend Netanyahu for the position of Prime Minister
@daniel_grovais
Shas: We will recommend Netanyahu to form a government after he pledged to regulate the status of Torah scholars
Dafna Liel
Shas: In light of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's clear and uncompromising announcement of his continued support and commitment to regulating the status of Torah scholars, Shas' Council of Torah Scholars has decided to recommend him to the President of the State as a candidate to form the government.
Shas: We will recommend Netanyahu for prime minister
Shas Movement in a statement:
In light of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's clear and uncompromising announcement of his continued support and commitment to regulating the status of Torah scholars, Shas' Council of Torah Scholars has decided to recommend him to the President of the State as a candidate to form the government.
The hypocrisy of the left-wing parties is blatant, after they led an unprecedented campaign of slander, defamation, and persecution against the Haredi sector and Torah scholars, who are the bedrock of the existence of the Jewish people.
Shas Movement in a statement:
In light of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's clear and uncompromising announcement of his continued support and commitment to regulating the status of Torah scholars, Shas' Council of Torah Scholars has decided to recommend him to the President of the State as a candidate to form the government.
The hypocrisy of the left-wing parties is blatant, after they led an unprecedented campaign of slander, defamation, and persecution against the Haredi sector and Torah scholars, who are the bedrock of the existence of the Jewish people.
Remaining in Netanyahu's bloc, for now: Knesset members from the Shas party participated tonight in a discussion with Netanyahu on the affair of suspected forgeries in the Arab sector
Shas also made a decision: We will recommend Netanyahu for prime minister
Where does the news lean?
16YES0NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.
main.knesset.gov.il
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