Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?Scott Wiener
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$61Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NEW: Public First, pro-safety AI Anthropic-backed group, is going in “big” to support @Scott_Wiener in his race to replace Pelosi, per source. Wiener is in tough 3-way contest and the big AI PACs had stayed away from the race. LTF hast gotten involved yet • • Txt subs got first!
Scott Wiener, a 6'7" tall California state senator running to succeed Nancy Pelosi in the House, is out with a new ad called "The Giraffe" and, well, I just think you need to watch it for yourself...
NOCNN Politics98%match39¢-100%
Nancy Pelosi plans to endorse Jack Schlossberg, JFK's grandson, for US House seat.
NOCNN Breaking News98%match39¢-100%
Nancy Pelosi plans to endorse Jack Schlossberg, JFK's grandson, for US House seat.
Where does the news lean?
2YES2NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.