Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?Scott Bessent
Open$7Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 10% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES10¢
NO90¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NONews99%match89¢+1%
*TREASURY SECRETARY SCOTT BESSENT SPEAKS ON FOX NEWS
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is making the case that America's biggest AI threat isn't the technology itself — it's losing the race to China. • • During an interview with Bret Baier, Bessent said Washington's challenge is finding the right balance between innovation and regulation, all while making sure the U.S. stays ahead of China in what he sees as one of the defining economic and national security competitions of the future.
DLNEWS: Scott Bessent leads Trump administration push for Clarity Act as crucial deadline approaches
NOBloomberg99%match83¢+8%
John Hurley, the Trump administration’s top sanctions official, is set to leave his post after friction with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, according to people familiar with the matter.
NOzerohedge99%match81¢+11%
*TRUMP SANCTIONS CHIEF SET TO LEAVE AFTER TENSION WITH BESSENT
NOFirst Squawk99%match81¢+11%
U.S PRESIDENT TRUMP SANCTIONS CHIEF SET TO LEAVE AFTER TENSION WITH BESSENT
NOunusual_whales98%match84¢+7%
Bessent: "I think 2026 is going to be the year for the Trump Boom."
Where does the news lean?
3YES11NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
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