Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?Robert Jenrick
ResolvedOutcome: No$502Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
EXCL: Police are assessing evidence about donations to Robert Jenrick’s campaign to become Tory leader in 2024 after a referral from the elections watchdog. • • Information was passed on by Electoral Commission, which is understood to have been investigating allegations that almost £40,000 of donations to his leadership campaign before he defected to Reform UK, were from foreign source in breach of electoral rules. • • Cracking reporting from @rowenamason • •
Where does the news lean?
0YES6NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.