Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?David Lammy
ResolvedOutcome: No$794Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NONews93%match100¢
UK Deputy Prime Minister David Lammy has announced his resignation.
Live: David Lammy, who was Starmer's deputy prime minister and previously foreign secretary, is leaving the cabinet. “I would have been proud to continue serving in Cabinet. But a new Prime Minister is entitled to build his own team, and I wish @andyburnham and the new Cabinet every success,” he wrote on social media.
David Lammy is out as deputy prime minister and returns to the back benches.
Starmer has resigned as Prime Minister. Burnham is about to make his way to the Palace. • • Which means David Lammy is currently running the country.
New: Deputy prime minister David Lammy this morning nominated Andy Burnham to become PM. • • A confident Burnham ally says: "By the end of the day, I'll doubt there'll be 81 MPs left who HAVEN'T nominated him." • • Insiders hoping for a big moment at 7pm, to show support for the likely sole candidate across factions, regions, as well as being gender and intake-balanced.
WATCH: David Lammy says "no one has the names" to challenge Keir Starmer as Prime Minister • • "Let's just step back. Take a breath. Let's remember we have the King's speech"
NOVisegrád 2498%match99¢+1%
As pressure mounts for Keir Starmer to resign, it is looking more and more likely that British Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood could become the first Muslim Prime Minister.
Where does the news lean?
0YES10NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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See all outcomes for Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.