Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Qatar

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$9KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESReuters99%match3¢-100%
Qatar Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: We Are Coordinating with Oman on Strait of Hormuz and on Safe Passage for Vessels
NOcnn.com99%match96¢+4%
Qatar temporarily halts all marine vessels after citizen killed by shrapnel
NOIran Semi-Official Fars99%match96¢+4%
Qatar suspends maritime activities in the Persian Gulf The Ministry of Transport of Qatar issued a statement this evening announcing that all maritime activities in the country will be temporarily suspended in order to maintain public safety. The ministry called on all owners and users of marine vehicles to refrain from sailing at sea until further notice. @Farsna - Link
NOcbsnews.com99%match96¢+4%
Qatar tells ship owners, operators to suspend sailing and marine activity immediately
NOiranintlbrk99%match96¢+4%
Qatar's Ministry of Transport announced that until further notice, ship traffic and all maritime activities will be temporarily suspended.
NOlivesquawk99%match96¢+4%
Qatar Transport Ministry: Advises Temporary Suspension Of Sailing And All Forms Of Maritime Activities Until Further Notice
NOReuters99%match96¢+4%
Qatar Advises Temporary Suspension of Sailing and All Forms of Maritime Activities Until Further Notice - Transport Ministry

Where does the news lean?

3YES12NO15neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify. For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify. Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice. Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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