OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap500–750B
Open$167Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOunusual_whales98%match91¢+9%
AI spending is accelerating far faster than revenue, with hyperscalers projected to pour more than $2 trillion into the space, intensifying the concentration of capital around AI, per Morgan Stanley.
NOPolymarket99%match91¢+9%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter 58% chance the OpenAI IPO closes above $1 trillion. >
YESFirst Squawk98%match9¢-89%
OPENAI TO RAISE $110B IN NEW INVESTMENT AT $730B VALUATION
NOzerohedge98%match91¢+9%
*OPENAI TO RAISE $110B IN NEW INVESTMENT AT $730B VALUATION
NO*Walter Bloomberg98%match91¢+9%
*OPENAI: ANNOUNCING $110B IN NEW INVESTMENT AT A $730B VALUATION
NOunusual_whales98%match95¢+4%
OpenAI has told investors compute target is aroudn $600 billion by 2030, per CNBC
NOPolymarket98%match95¢+4%
[Replying to @unusual_whales] @unusual_whales 53% chance OpenAI delays IPO past 2026. >
YESCGTN America98%match5¢-80%
OPENAI NOW PROJECTS CLOSER TO $600B IN TOTAL COMPUTE SPEND THROUGH 2030 - CNBC
NOunusual_whales98%match86¢+15%
OpenAI is close to finalizing the first phase of a new funding round that is likely to bring in more than $100 billion, per Bloomberg
NOunusual_whales98%match83¢+19%
OpenAI predicts a $14 billion loss in 2026, per PCGamer.
NOFirst Squawk99%match95¢+4%
The upcoming OpenAI funding round is projected at about $100 billion, valuing the company around $830 billion, according to a source.
NOCNBC98%match94¢+5%
Cerebras scores OpenAI deal worth over $10 billion ahead of AI chipmaker's IPO
NOStocktwits98%match94¢+5%
OpenAI discussing raising tens of billions at ~$750 billion valuation, according to The Information. Sam trying to catch up to @elonmusk and SpaceX…
NOBloomberg99%match94¢+5%
OpenAI has held funding talks with investors to raise tens of billions of dollars at a valuation of $750 billion, according to a report in the Information
NOFirst Squawk98%match94¢+5%
OpenAI Explores Massive Capital Raise at Approximate $750 Billion Valuation-THE INFORMATION
NOtradfi news98%match94¢+5%
[Replying to @tradfi] > *OPENAI DISCUSSING RAISING UP TO $100B AT $750B VALUATION: THE INFORMATION *NEW VALUATION 50% HIGHER THAN LAST OCTOBER'S SHARE SALE: THE INFORMATION
NOtradfi news98%match94¢+5%
*OPENAI DISCUSSING RAISING UP TO $100B AT $750B VALUATION: THE INFORMATION *NEW VALUATION 50% HIGHER THAN LAST OCTOBER'S SHARE SALE: THE INFORMATION
NOBenzinga98%match94¢+5%
OpenAI is reportedly in discussions with Amazon about a major investment that could top $10 billion, alongside a potential agreement to use Amazon’s AI chips. If completed, the deal would mark another significant step in OpenAI’s effort to diversify its funding and infrastructure…
NOBenzinga98%match94¢+5%
[Replying to @Benzinga] > OpenAI is reportedly in discussions with Amazon about a major investment that could top $10 billion, alongside a potential agreement to use Amazon’s AI chips. If completed, the deal would mark another significant step in OpenAI’s effort to diversify its funding and infrastructure…
YESBloomberg97%match4¢-75%
SpaceX is preparing to sell insider shares in a transaction that would value Elon Musk’s rocket and satellite maker at a valuation higher than OpenAI’s record-setting $500 billion
Where does the news lean?
5YES18NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Related markets
See all outcomes for OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.