OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1T–1.25T
Open$218Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
10 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
YESPolymarket99%match5¢-20%
[Replying to @KobeissiLetter] @KobeissiLetter 58% chance the OpenAI IPO closes above $1 trillion. >
NOSolid Intel 📡98%match95¢+1%
INTEL: OpenAI is projected to post a $14 billion net loss in 2026 and does not expect annual profitability until 2029, as it seeks funding at an $830 billion valuation
NOunusual_whales98%match95¢+1%
OpenAI predicts a $14 billion loss in 2026, per PCGamer.
YESBenzinga98%match11¢-64%
Could A $1 Trillion OpenAI IPO Save The Day For Nvidia, Microsoft?
NOFirst Squawk99%match94¢+2%
The upcoming OpenAI funding round is projected at about $100 billion, valuing the company around $830 billion, according to a source.
NOStocktwits98%match92¢+4%
OpenAI discussing raising tens of billions at ~$750 billion valuation, according to The Information. Sam trying to catch up to @elonmusk and SpaceX…
NOBloomberg99%match92¢+4%
OpenAI has held funding talks with investors to raise tens of billions of dollars at a valuation of $750 billion, according to a report in the Information
NOFirst Squawk98%match92¢+4%
OpenAI Explores Massive Capital Raise at Approximate $750 Billion Valuation-THE INFORMATION
YEStradfi news98%match8¢-50%
[Replying to @tradfi] > *OPENAI DISCUSSING RAISING UP TO $100B AT $750B VALUATION: THE INFORMATION *NEW VALUATION 50% HIGHER THAN LAST OCTOBER'S SHARE SALE: THE INFORMATION
YEStradfi news98%match8¢-50%
*OPENAI DISCUSSING RAISING UP TO $100B AT $750B VALUATION: THE INFORMATION *NEW VALUATION 50% HIGHER THAN LAST OCTOBER'S SHARE SALE: THE INFORMATION
Where does the news lean?
4YES8NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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