OpenAI IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO by December 31, 2026
Open$465Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 84% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES84¢
NO17¢
as of
What moved the odds?
19 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
OpenAI CFO: “Pushing for IPO next year… No problem even if later than Antropics”
(No) IPO: Why OpenAI has to postpone its IPO
NONews99%match36¢-56%
OPENAI IPO AS EARLY AS Q4 - SOURCE
OpenAI on track to IPO as early as Q4 2026, per CNBC. CEO and CFO reportedly "confident" about going public after their $122B fundraise.
OPENAI IS ON TRACK TO IPO AS EARLY AS Q4 - CNBC
OPENAI IS ON TRACK TO IPO AS EARLY AS Q4 - CNBC ...
OPENAI IS ON TRACK TO IPO AS EARLY AS Q4 - CNBC ...
OPENAI IS ON TRACK TO IPO AS EARLY AS Q4 - CNBC
OPENAI IS ON TRACK TO IPO AS EARLY AS Q4 - CNBC
NOReuters98%match36¢-56%
OpenAI is on Track to IPO as Early as Q4 - CNBC
OpenAI CFO raises concerns over Sam Altman’s 2026 IPO plans, The Information reports
OpenAI aligns its strategy with a potential IPO in 2026
YESPolymarket99%match49¢+71%
[Replying to @unusual_whales] @unusual_whales 53% chance OpenAI delays IPO past 2026. >
YESLeading Report98%match52¢+62%
BREAKING: OpenAI could lose about $14 billion in 2026, according to projections.
YESSolid Intel 📡98%match52¢+62%
INTEL: OpenAI is projected to post a $14 billion net loss in 2026 and does not expect annual profitability until 2029, as it seeks funding at an $830 billion valuation
YESunusual_whales98%match52¢+62%
OpenAI predicts a $14 billion loss in 2026, per PCGamer.
NOPolymarket99%match31¢-48%
[Replying to @jimcramer] @jimcramer 27% chance OpenAI IPO’s before 2027. > OpenAI, too early...
YESLeading Report98%match72¢+17%
BREAKING: OpenAI could reportedly run out of cash by mid-2027, losing billions in 2026, per Tom’s Hardware.
YESElon Musk99%match71¢+18%
OpenAI may be on the brink of collapse
Where does the news lean?
11YES11NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
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See all outcomes for OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.