When will North and South Korea engage in direct talks?December 31
Open$35Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 22% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES22¢
NO78¢
as of
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO1neutraltrailing 24h
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media.
Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count.
The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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