"Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office>44m

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$64KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

NOtheguardian.com99%match99¢+1%
Disney’s live-action Moana fails to make a splash at box office with underwhelming opening
NOfoxnews.com99%match100¢
'Moana' joins 'Snow White' as the latest live-action Disney film to bomb at box office
NOnytimes.com99%match100¢
‘Moana’ Falters at the Box Office, Casting Doubt on Disney’s Formula
NOdbws.io99%match99¢+1%
Disney's 'Moana' Remake Crashes at Box Office -- WSJ

Where does the news lean?

0YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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