CA-48 Primary WinnersMarni von Wilpert
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$885as of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
New poll from pro-Marni von Wilpert forces in #CA48: • • Desmond: 27% • von Wilpert: 16% • Campa-Najjar: 13% • O'Neil: 9% • Riker: 8% • Undecided: 20% • • Desmond consolidating GOP support, tight race between von Wilpert and Campa-Najjar to be the Dem in general election •
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for CA-48 Primary Winners — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.