CA-48 Primary Winners
Resolved12as of
This hub tracks 12 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
New poll from pro-Marni von Wilpert forces in #CA48: • • Desmond: 27% • von Wilpert: 16% • Campa-Najjar: 13% • O'Neil: 9% • Riker: 8% • Undecided: 20% • • Desmond consolidating GOP support, tight race between von Wilpert and Campa-Najjar to be the Dem in general election •
California U.S. House candidate Jim Desmond told Newsmax he wants to "bring some common sense to Washington, D.C., since we have hardly any of it here" in the Golden State.
What is this event about?
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.