Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?Markwayne Mullin
Open$3Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 17% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES17¢
NO83¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Amid criticism against Markwayne Mullin from conservatives, I asked Stephen Miller whether @POTUS still has confidence in his DHS secretary and whether he agrees with Mullin’s comments about immigration addressing labor shortages. • • "Well, I never heard that statement. All I know is that President Trump has been thrilled with the fact that we've had record deportations under Markwayne Mullin."
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
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