Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?Marco Rubio
Open$24Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
President Trump has signed a commission making Marco Rubio the National Security Advisor, a White House official tells me. • • Rubio who has been in an acting role since May 2025- is now officially Secretary of State and NSA.
A White House official confirms to me @NewsNation that President Trump signed a commission making Marco Rubio the National Security Advisor. • • Rubio was previously serving in an acting capacity and now this makes his dual role as Secretary of State and National Security Advisor official.
Trump confirms Marco Rubio as National Security Advisor in addition to the State Department, while focusing on the role of special envoys, which was usually the responsibility of the Secretary of State, in resolving international conflicts such as Russia, Ukraine, Iran, Iraq, Syria, and African conflicts, which are now distributed among envoys on whom Trump relies.
President Donald Trump recently signed a commission that permanently makes Marco Rubio the National Security Adviser according to a U.S. official speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss staffing moves. • • The move formalizes Rubio’s dual assignment as Secretary of State and National Security Adviser.
Trump administration under scrutiny from Congress; Rubio and Whitaker defend Iran deal before representatives and senators White House officials, including Marco Rubio, Secretary of State of the Donald Trump administration, and Steve Whitaker, the US President's special representative for the Middle East, answered questions from members of Congress on Monday evening local time to convince them, following opposition in the US Congress over the cooperation agreement between Tehran and Washington. @IRNA_1313
A US State Department official told MTV: US Secretary of State Marco Rubio briefly passed through the negotiating room this morning.
.@NEWSMAX: "Here's Secretary of State Marco Rubio offering U.S. support for Venezuela."
.@FoxNews: "Marco Rubio said the U.S. response will be fast, big, and effective."
YESLeading Report99%match16¢-69%
New job for Marco Rubio:
NOBloomberg98%match83¢+14%
Marco Rubio was once seen as ill-suited to an “America First” agenda. Now he’s one of Trump’s most powerful advisers — and is trying to make neocon ideas MAGA-friendly.
NOThe Economist98%match84¢+13%
"We do not need to abandon the system of international co-operation we authored, and we don’t need to dismantle the global institutions of the old order that together we built,” Marco Rubio argued in a speech to European leaders
NOBloomberg98%match86¢+10%
Secretary of State Marco Rubio will participate in the Munich Security Conference, just weeks after Trump’s desire to acquire Greenland generated alarm
NOBreaking91199%match81¢+17%
President Trump has appointed Secretary of State Marco Rubio to another job.
Where does the news lean?
5YES27NO5neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
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