Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?Lucy Powell
ResolvedOutcome: No$636Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: There are a few procedural bits to take care of before Burnham speaks today. Lucy Powell, the deputy leader of the Labour Party, and Hollie Ridley, the general secretary, will deliver some remarks before Shabana Mahmood, the current home secretary and the head of the party’s National Executive Committee, will announce the results of the non-contested race for party leader. The winner, of course, will be Burnham, who will speak after that.
NOVisegrád 2498%match98¢+2%
As pressure mounts for Keir Starmer to resign, it is looking more and more likely that British Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood could become the first Muslim Prime Minister.
NOThe Economist98%match98¢+2%
Angela Rayner, a former deputy prime minister who grew up in poverty, is the betting market’s current favourite. Yet she is not entirely squeaky clean herself Photo: Getty Images
Where does the news lean?
1YES4NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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