Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?J.D. Vance
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16 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Assaf Rosenzweig, a senior government official in one of the countries involved in the talks, said that Iran would be willing to compromise on its nuclear program, and was even close to doing so in talks with Vice President J.D. Vance, but in return it demands explicit guarantees that Israel will not attack it again after an agreement is reached with the US.
US Vice President Vance stated that he has "no intention of negotiating" unless Iran stops attacking merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz, emphasizing his unwillingness to pursue peace.
US Vice President Vance: "No negotiations with Iran" - Expectations for economic pressure from China
US Vice President on arming the Iranian opposition: All options are on the table, but I won't disclose them. Vance on arming the Iranian opposition: All options are on the table, but I won't disclose them. Vance: America will not negotiate with Iran until it stops targeting commercial ships. Vance: Approximately 15 million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday... and the economic and military pressure on Iran remains. Trump's deputy: We do not target civilians in Iran at all, unlike the Revolutionary Guard. Trump's deputy: We have many tools to pressure the Iranian regime.
Vance: Chinese Ready to Cooperate in Economically Isolating Iran
====== US Vice President J.D. Vance confirms China's readiness to cooperate in economically isolating Iran. Vance emphasizes the continuation of economic and military pressure tactics against the Iranian regime. The US Vice President announces Washington's refusal to enter into negotiations with Iran until it stops targeting ships. Vance demands Tehran immediately cease its attacks on maritime navigation and commercial vessels.
US Vance: "No Talk to Iran Without Cessation of Merchant Ship Attacks... Many Additional Means" (Roundup)
Vance's claim: Everything that can happen with Iran is on the table; economic, military, diplomatic pressure We're not going to talk to the Iranians until they stop shooting at commercial ships When will the war end? It's like asking, "When will the Iranians stop shooting at ships?" Trump said we could get out of [the region], but then it would be a lot worse for the whole world / Election
Vance's claim: The Iranians are losing their capabilities day by day / All options are on the table to be used against Iran JD Vance, US Vice President: We are the only country that has the ability to guarantee the continuity of energy supply in the world markets. The reason why gasoline prices are rising right now is because the Iranians are shooting at commercial ships. If we don't protect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, no one else will, and we will face a catastrophic global energy crisis. We attacked Iran to prevent it from obtaining a nuclear weapon, and we did this to protect commercial shipping and prevent a global energy crisis. The Iranians are losing their capabilities day by day. We do not target civilians in combat operations, we never will, and we have never done so before. We are pressuring Iran to stop shooting at commercial ships, and we know that Iran will continue to try to do so. We will not negotiate with Iran until Iran stops shooting at ships. We currently protect a large number of ships, and that is why we have not seen a global energy crisis. Frankly, if it were not for our efforts, gasoline prices would be much, much higher. All options are on the table for use against Iran; including economic, military, diplomatic pressure, and covert operations. We have a lot of tools at our disposal, and the president will use some of them against Iran. We could leave the region, but the Gulf Arab states are telling us, “That would be the worst thing that could happen.” My advice to the Islamic Republic officials is to stop their crazy behavior and stop shooting at commercial ships. [In response to a reporter’s question asking, “When are the Iranians going to rise up, according to Trump?”] I don’t want to talk too much about it. We’re just trying to defeat Iran to save the ships.
JD Vance, US Vice President at a press conference: All options are on the table to use against Iran, including economic pressure, military, diplomatic and covert operations We are the only country that can guarantee a continuous supply of energy to the world market. The reason why gasoline prices are so high right now is because the Iranians are shooting at commercial cargo ships. The Iranians are losing their capabilities day by day. We do not target civilians in combat operations, we never will, and we have never done so before. We attacked Iran to prevent it from obtaining a nuclear weapon and to protect commercial shipping to prevent a global energy crisis. We are putting pressure on Iran to stop shooting at commercial ships and we understand that it will continue to try to do so. We are already protecting a lot of ships, which is why we haven't seen a global energy crisis. Thanks to the United States, 15 million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz last night. We have a lot of additional tools at our disposal, and the president will use some of them against Iran. If we don't protect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, no one else will, and we will face a catastrophic global energy crisis. We will not negotiate with Iran until it stops shooting at ships. As for war and the timeline, I don't think describing the current situation as a war is accurate. We have a lot of additional tools at our disposal, and the president will use some of them against Iran./ World Diplomacy
US Vice President JD Vance: Iran must stop targeting commercial ships... and we will not hold talks with them unless they stop.
Vice President JD Vance said of the talks with the Islamic Republic: “President Donald Trump has been very clear that we will not talk to them and we have no intention of talking to them until they stop firing at commercial ships.” “Our message to the Islamic Republic has been clear from the beginning: They have to stop firing at commercial ships. They have to stop. It’s as simple as that,” he said. “What we’re going to do is not rely on the Islamic Republic to behave responsibly or negotiate in good faith,” Vance added. “What we’re going to do is use the tools at our disposal to make sure, first, that the American people are not threatened by the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program, and second, that global energy markets are properly supplied.”
US Vice President on arming the Iranian opposition: All options are on the table, but I won't disclose them. Vance on arming the Iranian opposition: All options are on the table, but I won't disclose them. Vance: America will not negotiate with Iran until it stops targeting commercial ships. Vance: Approximately 15 million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday... and the economic and military pressure on Iran remains. Trump's deputy: We do not target civilians in Iran at all, unlike the Revolutionary Guard. Trump's deputy: We have many tools to pressure the Iranian regime.
US Vice President J.D. Vance: We will not hold talks with Iran unless it stops targeting ships... and 15 million barrels of oil passed through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday.
Regarding negotiations with the Islamic Republic, J.D. Vance, referring to Trump's words, said: "The president has made it very clear that we will not negotiate with them until they stop firing at commercial ships."
JD Vance: We will not hold talks with Iran unless it stops firing on ships.
CNN: Trump has asked top administration envoys, including JD Vance, Witkoff, and Kushner, to halt their talks with Iran.
Where does the news lean?
2YES18NO4neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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