When will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz?January 31
ResolvedOutcome: No$294Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NO*Walter Bloomberg99%match86¢+16%
IMPACT ON OIL IF IRAN CLOSES THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ Closing the Strait of Hormuz would cause a severe shock to global oil and shipping markets, according to Kepler Cheuvreux, though the firm says the risk remains low. The strait handles about 35% of global crude trade—around 13.8…
Where does the news lean?
0YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for When will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.