When will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz?June 30

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$5.5MResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

36 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESIran Semi-Official Fars98%match100¢
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz extinguished the flames of the Indian stove Following the escalation of tensions in West Asia and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, India is facing a severe crisis in the supply of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). In major cities like Delhi, Mumbai and Lucknow, people stand in long queues from 4 am with empty capsules to get their quota before the dealers' limited stock runs out. @Farsna [in reply to: Gas cylinders are scarce in India Indian magazine Chitralikha: After the US and Israel attacked Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a shortage of LPG has become apparent in India, and in many regions, conflicts have arisen over the supply of gas cylinders. In some places, capsules are being stolen, and in other places, people are standing in long lines to fill capsules. In the Jhansi region, 524 filled LPG cylinders were stolen from in front of a gas depot. Long queues are seen in front of gas dealers and depots in Lucknow. People say that despite the gas running out, the cylinders are not being delivered to their doorsteps and that is why they have come to collect them themselves. Similar scenes are seen in other areas where people were waiting in long queues. The LPG shortage is also more evident in various areas of Kolkata. Most taxi routes in the city have been affected due to the lack of LPG. A queue of cars, about 1.5 km long, was seen in the Taratala area of south Kolkata. Some people had been standing in the queue since last night and others since this morning. Everyone had been waiting for hours to refill their LPG tanks. @Farsna]
NOft.com98%match0¢
Live: Iran-flagged vessels continue to sail through Strait of Hormuz
NOalmayadeenlive99%match0¢
Iran: Shariati to Al-Mayadeen: Iran does not completely close the Strait of Hormuz, but rather controls the traffic and maintains its grip on it.
NOAl Mayadeen99%match0¢
Iran: Shariati to Al-Mayadeen: Iran does not completely close the Strait of Hormuz, but rather controls the traffic and maintains its grip on it.
NOCBS Reporter99%match0¢
There is some traffic moving through the Strait of Hormus, Gen Caine says. But he says it is Iran that has effectively closed the waterway that is so key to global trade.
IRAN’S AMBASSADOR TO UN: IRAN WILL NOT CLOSE STRAIT OF HORMUZ • #IRAN #HORMUZ #OOTT • (
Iran has stated that it does not intend to close the Strait of Hormuz.
NOdbws.io99%match0¢
Iran not going to close Strait of Hormuz, Iran UN envoy says
NOfirstsquawk99%match0¢
IRAN'S UN ENVOY STATED THAT TEHRAN WILL NOT CLOSE THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ, BUT ASSERTED IT IS IRAN'S RIGHT TO PRESERVE PEACE AND SECURITY IN THE WATERWAY.
NOinvestinglive_99%match0¢
Iran says its not going close Strait of Hormuz •
YESasia.nikkei.com99%match100¢
Oil settles above $100 as Iran vows to keep Strait of Hormuz closed
YESalarabytv99%match100¢
#Breaking | Spokesperson for Iran's Khatam al-Anbiya Headquarters: The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed
YESIran Semi-Official Fars98%match100¢
Spokesperson for the Central Headquarters of the Prophets of Iran: The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed The attacks of Iranian armed forces against American-Zionist targets in the region will continue with force.
YESasia.nikkei.com99%match100¢
Oil gains 8% as Iran says Strait of Hormuz closure to continue
YESenglishfars99%match100¢
Iran's Leader: Strait of Hormuz to Remain Closed •
Iranian Foreign Ministry: Iran is not seeking to make the Strait of Hormuz unsafe.
NObbc.co.uk99%match0¢
Iran not laying mines in Strait of Hormuz, says deputy foreign minister
YESalmayadeenlive99%match100¢
Iran: Revolutionary Guard: The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed
YESinteldoge99%match100¢
A written statement from Mojtaba was read on state TV. He says the Strait of Hormuz will remain essentially closed,…
NOosint61399%match0¢
Iran Deputy FM: We're not laying mines in Hormuz Strait - AFP.
YESft.com99%match100¢
Iran’s new supreme leader vows to keep Strait of Hormuz closed
YESfirstsquawk99%match100¢
JPMorgan says "short" the stock market until Strait of Hormuz reopens
YESinvestinglive_99%match100¢
Britain's Defence Secretary says Iran is likely laying mines in Strait of Hormuz
YESWalter Bloomberg99%match100¢
U.S. CRUDE FUTURES RISES 10% AFTER IRAN SAYS WILL KEEP STRAIT OF HORMUZ CLOSED
YESfirstsquawk99%match100¢
U.S. CRUDE FUTURES RISES 10 PCT AFTER IRAN SAYS WILL KEEP STRAIT OF HORMUZ CLOSED
YESReuters99%match100¢
U.S. Crude Futures Rises 10% After Iran Says Will Keep Strait of Hormuz Closed
Sardar Tangsiri's response to the order of the Supreme Commander-in-Chief In response to the Supreme Commander, we will deliver the most severe blows to the aggressor enemy by maintaining the strategy of keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed. @Defapress_ir
YEScnn.com99%match100¢
Stocks fall as Iran’s new supreme leader vows to keep Strait of Hormuz closed
YESNBC Reporter98%match100¢
.@NBCNews Live updates: In first remarks, Iran's new supreme leader vows to keep blocking Strait of Hormuz and vows vengeance for school strike that killed 170 people
YESafpnews99%match100¢
Iran Guards vow to keep Strait of Hormuz closed after Khamenei call
YESasia.nikkei.com99%match100¢
Iran's new supreme leader vows to keep Strait of Hormuz closed
YESms.now99%match100¢
Iran live updates: A defiant Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei says Strait of Hormuz must remain closed
YES*Walter Bloomberg99%match45¢+122%
UK NAVY: 'SIGNIFICANT' MILITARY ACTIVITY AT STRAIT OF HORMUZ
YESFirst Squawk99%match45¢+122%
UK NAVY SAYS 'SIGNIFICANT' MILITARY ACTIVITY AT STRAIT OF HORMUZ
NOGlobe Eye News99%match65¢-100%
BREAKING: Iran officially closes its airspace across the country.
NOFirst Squawk98%match65¢-100%
Iran closes its entire airspace

Where does the news lean?

40YES36NO6neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.

How did this market resolve?

If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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