Houthis successfully target shipping on...?August 10

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$2KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESiranintl94%match2¢-100%
A small commercial vessel was targeted by a missile attack by Yemeni Houthi rebels affiliated with the Islamic Republic government in the Bab al-Mandab Strait on Tuesday, August 10. Yemeni government officials reported that three Pakistani crew members and an Indonesian sailor were killed and four others were injured in the incident.
YESiranintl94%match2¢-100%
A small commercial vessel was targeted by a missile attack by Yemeni Houthi rebels affiliated with the Islamic Republic government in the Bab al-Mandab Strait on Tuesday, August 10. Yemeni government officials reported that three Pakistani crew members and an Indonesian sailor were killed and four others were injured in the incident.
YESiranintl96%match2¢-100%
Aram News, citing military sources on the west coast of Yemen, announced that the Houthis attacked a commercial cargo ship in the Bab al-Mandab Strait on Tuesday morning, August 10, which, according to initial statistics, resulted in the death of three crew members. Al-Arabiya also reported that the ship was targeted with a ballistic missile. According to reports, two Pakistani citizens and an Indonesian citizen lost their lives in the attack by the Houthis, supported by the Islamic Republic. Aram News, citing this military source, wrote: "The Houthis fired dozens of drones and missiles towards the port and city of Al-Mokha last night, a number of which were intercepted." The military source also added that according to initial investigations, the attack on the ship on the international shipping route occurred from rural areas west of Taiz province.
YESiranintl95%match2¢-100%
Aram News, citing military sources on the west coast of Yemen, announced that Houthi militias attacked a commercial cargo ship in the Bab al-Mandab Strait on Tuesday morning, August 10, which, according to initial statistics, resulted in the death of three crew members. Al-Arabiya also reported that the ship was targeted with a ballistic missile. According to reports, two Pakistani citizens and an Indonesian citizen lost their lives in the attack by the Yemeni Houthi militia group supported by the Islamic Republic. Aram News, citing this military source, wrote: "Houthi militias fired dozens of drones and missiles towards the port and city of Al-Mokha last night, a number of which were intercepted." The military source also added that according to initial investigations, the attack on the ship on the international shipping route took place from rural areas west of Taiz province. is.

Where does the news lean?

5YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.

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