How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 3?<25

ResolvedOutcome: NoVol$23KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESalarabiya93%match29¢-100%
Shipping data: Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz drops to just 6 vessels
YESentekhab_news91%match30¢-100%
Wall Street Journal: Energy producers in the Persian Gulf are more than ever expecting Iran's control of the Strait of Hormuz to be sustainable Crude oil shipments through the waterway have fallen to about 2.2 million barrels per day in the past week, a far cry from the 20 million barrels that passed through the strait before the war Countries in the region are more willing than ever to accept Tehran's control of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for avoiding another conflict / Selection
YESdbws.io94%match30¢-100%
Gulf shipping traffic via Strait of Hormuz falls to six vessels

Where does the news lean?

4YES4NO2neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from August 3, 2026, through August 9, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

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