Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?↑ $120
ResolvedOutcome: No$1.7Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Brent crude futures rose by two dollars to around $105 a barrel.
BRENT CRUDE JUMPS MORE THAN $2 TO $104.90 A BARREL ON RISING UNCERTAINTY OVER POTENTIAL US-IRAN NEGOTIATIONS. ...
Brent crude jumps more than $2 to $104.90 a barrel on rising uncertainty over potential US-Iran negotiations.
Brent crude jumps more than $2 to $104.90 a barrel on rising uncertainty over potential US-Iran negotiations.
U.S. CRUDE FUTURES JUMPED MORE THAN $1 TO $98 A BARREL AT THE OPEN AS UNCERTAINTY OVER IRAN PEACE TALKS KEPT ENERGY MARKETS ON EDGE. ...
U.S. CRUDE FUTURES JUMPED MORE THAN $1 TO $98 A BARREL AT THE OPEN AS UNCERTAINTY OVER IRAN PEACE TALKS KEPT ENERGY MARKETS ON EDGE.
Crude $101.99
BREAKING: The odds of US oil prices rising above $120/barrel this month have collapsed to just 24%, per Polymarket. • • Prior to the ceasefire deal announced on April 7th, odds of $120+ crude oil were as high as 88%.
CNBC: Brent crude spot price above $120 Brent spot prices traded above $120 on Wednesday, about $30 higher than the June forward price. This "cash" price proves that even if the ceasefire holds, the shortage of oil supply in the market will not end anytime soon. The market does not believe that a ceasefire can so easily resolve the profound disruption to supply caused by the five-week war. “Spot” prices are for shipments scheduled to be delivered within the next 10 to 30 days, while “future” contracts are for delivery in June and beyond. @TasnimNews
CNBC: Brent crude spot price above $120 Brent spot prices traded above $120 on Wednesday, about $30 higher than the June forward price. This "cash" price proves that even if the ceasefire holds, the shortage of oil supply in the market will not end anytime soon. The market does not believe that a ceasefire can so easily resolve the profound disruption to supply caused by the five-week war. "Spot" prices are for shipments scheduled to be delivered within the next 10 to 30 days, while "future" contracts are for delivery in June and beyond. @Farsna [in reply to: CNN: Real oil price exceeds $144 for the first time According to data from Platts, the price of Brent crude, the most widely used price index for physical crude oil shipments in the North Sea, reached $144.42 per barrel on Tuesday. Unlike oil futures, which represent traders' predictions of prices at a specific point in the future, Brent is a historical real-world oil price that is paid for immediate delivery of crude oil. This is the highest price recorded for barrels of so-called "real oil" since the index began recording in July 1987. @Farsna]
NOReuters98%match43¢+133%
Brent Crude Futures Hit High of $114.35/bbl, US Crude Futures Touch Intraday High of $101.50
Where does the news lean?
1YES10NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
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