Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

OpenOutcomes39as of

This hub tracks 39 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

All further outcomes (9 more):

↓ $90 · ↓ $85 · ↑ $105 · ↓ $75 · ↑ $95 · ↑ $100 · ↑ $90 · ↑ $85 · ↑ $80

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

↓ $70wam.ae99%match0¢
Oil falls by about 4%, with Brent closing below $72 a barrel.
↓ $40wam.ae99%match0¢
Oil falls by about 4%, with Brent closing below $72 a barrel.
↓ $50wam.ae99%match0¢
Oil falls by about 4%, with Brent closing below $72 a barrel.
↓ $47wam.ae99%match0¢
Oil falls by about 4%, with Brent closing below $72 a barrel.
↓ $45wam.ae99%match0¢
Oil falls by about 4%, with Brent closing below $72 a barrel.
↓ $35wam.ae99%match0¢
Oil falls by about 4%, with Brent closing below $72 a barrel.
↓ $70sankei.com99%match0¢
NY crude oil falls back, closing at around $69, hitting a four-month low on expectations of supply recovery.
↓ $40sankei.com99%match100¢
NY crude oil falls back, closing at around $69, hitting a four-month low on expectations of supply recovery.
↓ $50sankei.com99%match100¢
NY crude oil falls back, closing at around $69, hitting a four-month low on expectations of supply recovery.
↓ $47sankei.com99%match100¢
NY crude oil falls back, closing at around $69, hitting a four-month low on expectations of supply recovery.
↓ $45sankei.com99%match100¢
NY crude oil falls back, closing at around $69, hitting a four-month low on expectations of supply recovery.
↓ $60sankei.com99%match99¢+1%
NY crude oil falls back, closing at around $69, hitting a four-month low on expectations of supply recovery.
↓ $40nikkei.com98%match0¢
New York commodities: Crude oil falls back, briefly hitting a four-month low on expectations of easing transportation congestion; gold continues to rise.
↓ $45nikkei.com98%match0¢
New York commodities: Crude oil falls back, briefly hitting a four-month low on expectations of easing transportation congestion; gold continues to rise.
Floating trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly drop in gold and silver under dollar pressure News link Follow IRNA news on Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ETA | World @IRNA_1313 [in reply to: Volatile trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly drop in gold and silver under dollar pressure Increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about disruptions in energy supply put the global oil market on an upward path in the week ending May 22, 2026 (equivalent to Khordad 1, 1405). In contrast, the precious metals market, after the historic jumps of the past months, faced a weekly drop under the influence of the strengthening value of the dollar and the increase in the yield of US Treasury bonds. The price of Brent oil at the beginning of the last week under review, May 15, equivalent to May 25, was in the range of $109 per barrel, and by the end of the week, May 22, equivalent to June 1, it reached about $103 Read the details of this report on the IRNA website IRNA news on Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ETA | Follow the world @IRNA_1313]
Floating trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly drop in gold and silver under dollar pressure News link Follow IRNA news on Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ETA | World @IRNA_1313 [in reply to: Volatile trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly drop in gold and silver under dollar pressure Increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about disruptions in energy supply put the global oil market on an upward path in the week ending May 22, 2026 (equivalent to Khordad 1, 1405). In contrast, the precious metals market, after the historic jumps of the past months, faced a weekly drop under the influence of the strengthening value of the dollar and the increase in the yield of US Treasury bonds. The price of Brent oil at the beginning of the last week under review, May 15, equivalent to May 25, was in the range of $109 per barrel, and by the end of the week, May 22, equivalent to June 1, it reached about $103 Read the details of this report on the IRNA website IRNA news on Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ETA | Follow the world @IRNA_1313]
Floating trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly drop in gold and silver under dollar pressure News link Follow IRNA news on Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ETA | World @IRNA_1313 [in reply to: Volatile trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly drop in gold and silver under dollar pressure Increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about disruptions in energy supply put the global oil market on an upward path in the week ending May 22, 2026 (equivalent to Khordad 1, 1405). In contrast, the precious metals market, after the historic jumps of the past months, faced a weekly drop under the influence of the strengthening value of the dollar and the increase in the yield of US Treasury bonds. The price of Brent oil at the beginning of the last week under review, May 15, equivalent to May 25, was in the range of $109 per barrel, and by the end of the week, May 22, equivalent to June 1, it reached about $103 Read the details of this report on the IRNA website IRNA news on Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ETA | Follow the world @IRNA_1313]
Floating trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly drop in gold and silver under dollar pressure News link Follow IRNA news on Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ETA | World @IRNA_1313 [in reply to: Volatile trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly drop in gold and silver under dollar pressure Increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about disruptions in energy supply put the global oil market on an upward path in the week ending May 22, 2026 (equivalent to Khordad 1, 1405). In contrast, the precious metals market, after the historic jumps of the past months, faced a weekly drop under the influence of the strengthening value of the dollar and the increase in the yield of US Treasury bonds. The price of Brent oil at the beginning of the last week under review, May 15, equivalent to May 25, was in the range of $109 per barrel, and by the end of the week, May 22, equivalent to June 1, it reached about $103 Read the details of this report on the IRNA website IRNA news on Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ETA | Follow the world @IRNA_1313]
Floating trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly drop in gold and silver under dollar pressure News link Follow IRNA news on Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ETA | World @IRNA_1313 [in reply to: Volatile trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly drop in gold and silver under dollar pressure Increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about disruptions in energy supply put the global oil market on an upward path in the week ending May 22, 2026 (equivalent to Khordad 1, 1405). In contrast, the precious metals market, after the historic jumps of the past months, faced a weekly drop under the influence of the strengthening value of the dollar and the increase in the yield of US Treasury bonds. The price of Brent oil at the beginning of the last week under review, May 15, equivalent to May 25, was in the range of $109 per barrel, and by the end of the week, May 22, equivalent to June 1, it reached about $103 Read the details of this report on the IRNA website IRNA news on Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ETA | Follow the world @IRNA_1313]
↓ $80Iran State-Run Shana99%match38¢+163%
Barclays did not change its forecast for the price of Brent oil in 2026 The British bank Barclays, while maintaining its forecast for the price of Brent oil for 2026, announced an increase in risk in global crude oil markets and announced: It still expects the average price of the Brent North Sea crude oil index to be $100 per barrel in 2026, although it considers higher risk for the market. US crude oil reserves have reached their lowest level since 2020. Even if the disruption to traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is resolved, the level of initial reserves will be about 20 million barrels lower than its lowest level in recent years, in the most optimistic case. shana.ir/news/1965539 @Shananewsroom
↑ $130Iran State-Run Shana99%match82¢+22%
Barclays did not change its forecast for the price of Brent oil in 2026 The British bank Barclays, while maintaining its forecast for the price of Brent oil for 2026, announced an increase in risk in global crude oil markets and announced: It still expects the average price of the Brent North Sea crude oil index to be $100 per barrel in 2026, although it considers higher risk for the market. US crude oil reserves have reached their lowest level since 2020. Even if the disruption to traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is resolved, the level of initial reserves will be about 20 million barrels lower than its lowest level in recent years, in the most optimistic case. shana.ir/news/1965539 @Shananewsroom
Barclays did not change its forecast for the price of Brent oil in 2026 The British bank Barclays, while maintaining its forecast for the price of Brent oil for 2026, announced an increase in risk in global crude oil markets and announced: It still expects the average price of the Brent North Sea crude oil index to be $100 per barrel in 2026, although it considers higher risk for the market. US crude oil reserves have reached their lowest level since 2020. Even if the disruption to traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is resolved, the level of initial reserves will be about 20 million barrels lower than its lowest level in recent years, in the most optimistic case. shana.ir/news/1965539 @Shananewsroom
↓ $47staunovo98%match99¢+1%
#Iraq oil output hits new multi-decade low • A trickle of tanker loadings points to an emerging wartime export cadence that has forced over two-thirds of Iraq's production offline. #oott
Volatile trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly decline in gold and silver under dollar pressure Increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about disruptions in energy supply put the global oil market on an upward path in the week ending May 22, 2026 (equivalent to Khordad 1, 1405). In contrast, the precious metals market, after the historic jumps of the past months, faced a weekly decline under the influence of the strengthening value of the dollar and the increase in the yield of US Treasury bonds. The price of Brent oil at the beginning of the last week under review, May 15, equivalent to May 25, was in the range of $109 per barrel, and by the end of the week, May 22, equivalent to June 1, it reached about $103 Read the details of this report on the IRNA website IRNA news in Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ITA | World Follow @IRNA_1313
↑ $115Iran State News Agency99%match48¢+108%
Volatile trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly decline in gold and silver under dollar pressure Increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about disruptions in energy supply put the global oil market on an upward path in the week ending May 22, 2026 (equivalent to Khordad 1, 1405). In contrast, the precious metals market, after the historic jumps of the past months, faced a weekly decline under the influence of the strengthening value of the dollar and the increase in the yield of US Treasury bonds. The price of Brent oil at the beginning of the last week under review, May 15, equivalent to May 25, was in the range of $109 per barrel, and by the end of the week, May 22, equivalent to June 1, it reached about $103 Read the details of this report on the IRNA website IRNA news in Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ITA | World Follow @IRNA_1313
Volatile trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly decline in gold and silver under dollar pressure Increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about disruptions in energy supply put the global oil market on an upward path in the week ending May 22, 2026 (equivalent to Khordad 1, 1405). In contrast, the precious metals market, after the historic jumps of the past months, faced a weekly decline under the influence of the strengthening value of the dollar and the increase in the yield of US Treasury bonds. The price of Brent oil at the beginning of the last week under review, May 15, equivalent to May 25, was in the range of $109 per barrel, and by the end of the week, May 22, equivalent to June 1, it reached about $103 Read the details of this report on the IRNA website IRNA news in Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ITA | World Follow @IRNA_1313
Volatile trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly decline in gold and silver under dollar pressure Increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about disruptions in energy supply put the global oil market on an upward path in the week ending May 22, 2026 (equivalent to Khordad 1, 1405). In contrast, the precious metals market, after the historic jumps of the past months, faced a weekly decline under the influence of the strengthening value of the dollar and the increase in the yield of US Treasury bonds. The price of Brent oil at the beginning of the last week under review, May 15, equivalent to May 25, was in the range of $109 per barrel, and by the end of the week, May 22, equivalent to June 1, it reached about $103 Read the details of this report on the IRNA website IRNA news in Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ITA | World Follow @IRNA_1313
↑ $110Iran State News Agency99%match39¢+156%
Volatile trend in global oil prices in the shadow of the Middle East crisis; Weekly decline in gold and silver under dollar pressure Increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and concerns about disruptions in energy supply put the global oil market on an upward path in the week ending May 22, 2026 (equivalent to Khordad 1, 1405). In contrast, the precious metals market, after the historic jumps of the past months, faced a weekly decline under the influence of the strengthening value of the dollar and the increase in the yield of US Treasury bonds. The price of Brent oil at the beginning of the last week under review, May 15, equivalent to May 25, was in the range of $109 per barrel, and by the end of the week, May 22, equivalent to June 1, it reached about $103 Read the details of this report on the IRNA website IRNA news in Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus | ITA | World Follow @IRNA_1313
↓ $52dbws.io99%match2¢-100%
US Cash Crude-Grades ease on third day of volatile cash roll trading period
↓ $40dbws.io99%match1¢-100%
US Cash Crude-Grades ease on third day of volatile cash roll trading period

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

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