Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerByron Donalds

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$1.5MResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

39 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YEStheguardian.com98%match100¢
Live: Florida governor hopefuls Byron Donalds and David Jolly have both addressed supporters following their victories in their respective primaries. Republican nomin
YESnytimes.com98%match100¢
Live: Byron Donalds, now the Republican nominee for Florida governor, dominated in most of the state but is trailing to Jay Collins in a number of largely white, rural counties in North Florida. Mr. Donalds is Black, and some Republicans will be looking at his underperformance in those counties with concerns about whether white Republicans are unwilling to vote for a Black nominee and might stay home in November. If elected, Donalds would become Florida’s first Black governor.
YESnytimes.com97%match100¢
Live: Byron Donalds took the stage at his primary night event to celebrate his win. “We have won a massive victory.” He said Republican rivals Paul Renner and James Fishback called to congratulate him and urged him to beat David Jolly. “Tonight we are one united Republican Party,” Donalds said.
YESms.now98%match100¢
Byron Donalds wins Florida GOP primary for governor
YESfoxnews98%match100¢
BREAKING: Byron Donalds wins the Republican nomination for governor in Florida, AP projects
YEStheguardian.com98%match100¢
Trump-backed Byron Donalds wins Republican primary in race to succeed Florida governor DeSantis
YEStheguardian.com98%match100¢
Live: The Associated Press has called the primary results of Florida’s governor’s race: Byron Donalds has won the Republican nomination and David Jolly the Democratic
YEScbsnews.com97%match100¢
Byron Donalds, David Jolly to face off in Florida governor's race
YESNBC Reporter97%match100¢
Trump-backed Rep. Byron Donalds wins the Republican primary for Florida governor, NBC News projects • • via @nbcnews
YESms.now98%match100¢
Live: Rep. Byron Donalds projected to win Florida GOP gubernatorial nomination
YESnypost.com97%match100¢
Trump-endorsed Rep. Byron Donalds easily wins Florida GOP gubernatorial primary
YESnytimes.com98%match100¢
Live: Byron Donalds Wins Republican Nomination for Florida Governor
YESnytimes.com98%match100¢
Byron Donalds Wins Republican Nomination for Florida Governor
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
Decision Desk HQ projects Byron Donalds wins the Florida Governor Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 8:00 PM EDT
YEScnn.com98%match100¢
Live: Rep. Byron Donalds will win GOP gubernatorial nomination in Florida, CNN projects
YESapnews.com98%match100¢
Live: Rep. Byron Donalds wins Republican nomination for Florida governor
YESnbcnews.com98%match100¢
Live: Byron Donalds wins the Republican primary for Florida governor, NBC News projects
YESAPws97%match100¢
WASHINGTON (AP) — Byron Donalds wins Republican nomination for governor in Florida
YESapnews.com97%match100¢
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Byron Donalds wins Republican nomination for governor in Florida
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 675,076 (49.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 339,870 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 137,965 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
YESnytimes.com98%match100¢
Live: While Byron Donalds has a large lead statewide in the Republican primary for governor in Florida, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins is currently leading in several rural, historically Republican counties in the northern part of the state which tend to have significantly lower percentages of residents with a college degree than the state as a whole.
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 64% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 534,160 (50.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 263,158 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 96,781 (9.1%) • Paul Renner (R): 89,864 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
YESnytimes.com98%match100¢
Live: With a little more than 50 percent of the vote reported in Florida, Byron Donalds is ahead by a wide margin in the Republican primary for governor. Donalds had wide leads in all of the recent pre-election polling and was endorsed by President Trump.
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 53% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 452,930 (50.7%) • Jay Collins (R): 221,068 (24.7%) • Paul Renner (R): 75,993 (8.5%) • James Fishback (R): 73,862 (8.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 44% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 377,752 (51.5%) • Jay Collins (R): 182,887 (24.9%) • Paul Renner (R): 61,485 (8.4%) • James Fishback (R): 54,063 (7.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 13% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 109,394 (49.6%) • Jay Collins (R): 59,967 (27.2%) • Paul Renner (R): 18,436 (8.4%) • James Fishback (R): 15,477 (7.0%) • Bobby Williams (R): 7,519 (3.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
YESms.now93%match99¢+1%
Live: Byron Donalds could become Florida’s first Black governor
YESDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match99¢+1%
FLORIDA • • 11 candidates are on the ballot in the Republican gubernatorial primary, but Trump-endorsed Byron Donalds leads in fundraising and polling. • •
YESAxios Reporter92%match99¢+1%
FL gov race update: Rep Byron Donalds just reserved $2m for a statewide general election ad buy, starting tomorrow and running through Monday • • The first ad in the rotation: “Game Time.” • • Topic: affordability
YESAxios Reporter94%match99¢+1%
FL gov race update: Rep Byron Donalds just reserved $2m for a statewide general election ad buy, starting tomorrow and running through Monday
YEStruthsocial.com95%match99¢+1%
Florida, Vote for Byron Donalds for Governor. He has my Complete and total Endorsement. He will never let you down! President DJT
YEStruthsocial.com96%match98¢+2%
Highly Respected Congressman Byron Donalds is running for Governor of Florida, a State that I love, and WON BIG, in 2016, 2020, and 2024. I know Byron well, have seen him tested at the highest and most difficult levels, and he is a TOTAL WINNER! Byron has a great wife, Erika, and three beautiful sons. They are very proud of him! As Governor, Byron will have a BIG Voice, and work closely with me to advance our America First Agenda. He will fight tirelessly to help Keep our Border SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, Strengthen our Military, Protect our Veterans, Advance American Energy DOMINANCE, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., and Defend our always under siege Second Amendment. Byron Donalds will be a truly Great and Powerful Governor for Florida, and has my Complete and Total Endorsement! Early Voting is underway NOW, and Election Day is August 18th. GET OUT AND VOTE FOR BYRON — HE WILL NEVER LET YOU DOWN! Find your Voting Location here:
YEStruthsocial.com96%match98¢+2%
Highly Respected Congressman Byron Donalds is running for Governor of Florida, a State that I love, and WON BIG, in 2016, 2020, and 2024.I know Byron well, have seen him tested at the highest and most difficult levels, and he is a TOTAL WINNER! Byron has a great wife, Erika, and three beautiful sons. They are very proud of him! As Governor, Byron will have a BIG Voice, and work closely with me to advance our America First Agenda. He will fight tirelessly to help Keep our Border SECURE, Stop Migrant Crime, Strengthen our Military, Protect our Veterans, Advance American Energy DOMINANCE, Cut Taxes and Regulations, Promote MADE IN THE U.S.A., and Defend our always under siege Second Amendment.Byron Donalds will be a truly Great and Powerful Governor for Florida, and has my Complete and Total Endorsement — HE WILL NOT LET YOU DOWN!
YESnbcnews.com91%match97¢+3%
Live: Republican megadonor Ken Griffin gives $10 million to boost Byron Donalds’ bid for Florida governor
YESnbcnews.com91%match97¢+3%
Republican megadonor Ken Griffin gives $10 million to boost Byron Donalds’ bid for Florida governor
YESPolitico Reporter99%match83¢+20%
The governor’s office later confirmed to the Herald that Johnson, DeSantis and Griffin met for dinner that night. It was an unadvertised, out-of-the way trip for a governor who held press conferences in Jacksonville Wednesday afternoon and outside of Orlando Thursday morning. • • Griffin still has not backed a Republican candidate in Florida’s gubernatorial race, despite DeSantis lobbying him last fall to fund a challenger against frontrunner Byron Donalds • •
YESPolymarket99%match80¢+25%
[Replying to @PpollingNumbers] @PpollingNumbers Florida Governor Republican Primary: Byron Donalds - 80% James Fishback - 10% Jay Collins - 5% >
YESPolymarket99%match81¢+23%
[Replying to @LeadingReport] @LeadingReport Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds - 81% James Fishback - 11% Jay Collins - 4% >
NOPolymarket99%match18¢-100%
[Replying to @j_fishback] @j_fishback Florida Governor Republican Primary odds: Byron Donalds - 82% James Fishback - 14% Jay Collins - 3% > As Governor, I will ban Palantir in Florida.

Where does the news lean?

39YES2NO1neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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