Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
Resolved23as of
This hub tracks 23 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Byron Donalds100%
Other0%
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Live: Florida’s Lt. Gov. Jay Collins loses bid to be Republican’s nominee for governor
Live: Florida governor hopefuls Byron Donalds and David Jolly have both addressed supporters following their victories in their respective primaries. Republican nomin
Live: Byron Donalds, now the Republican nominee for Florida governor, dominated in most of the state but is trailing to Jay Collins in a number of largely white, rural counties in North Florida. Mr. Donalds is Black, and some Republicans will be looking at his underperformance in those counties with concerns about whether white Republicans are unwilling to vote for a Black nominee and might stay home in November. If elected, Donalds would become Florida’s first Black governor.
Live: Byron Donalds, now the Republican nominee for Florida governor, dominated in most of the state but is trailing to Jay Collins in a number of largely white, rural counties in North Florida. Mr. Donalds is Black, and some Republicans will be looking at his underperformance in those counties with concerns about whether white Republicans are unwilling to vote for a Black nominee and might stay home in November. If elected, Donalds would become Florida’s first Black governor.
Live: Byron Donalds took the stage at his primary night event to celebrate his win. “We have won a massive victory.” He said Republican rivals Paul Renner and James Fishback called to congratulate him and urged him to beat David Jolly. “Tonight we are one united Republican Party,” Donalds said.
Byron Donalds wins Florida GOP primary for governor
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Jimmy Patronis wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 1st Congressional District
BREAKING: Byron Donalds wins the Republican nomination for governor in Florida, AP projects
Trump-backed Byron Donalds wins Republican primary in race to succeed Florida governor DeSantis
Live: The Associated Press has called the primary results of Florida’s governor’s race: Byron Donalds has won the Republican nomination and David Jolly the Democratic
Byron Donalds, David Jolly to face off in Florida governor's race
Trump-backed Rep. Byron Donalds wins the Republican primary for Florida governor, NBC News projects • • via @nbcnews
Live: Rep. Byron Donalds projected to win Florida GOP gubernatorial nomination
Trump-endorsed Rep. Byron Donalds easily wins Florida GOP gubernatorial primary
Live: Byron Donalds Wins Republican Nomination for Florida Governor
Byron Donalds Wins Republican Nomination for Florida Governor
Decision Desk HQ projects Byron Donalds wins the Florida Governor Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 8:00 PM EDT
Live: Rep. Byron Donalds will win GOP gubernatorial nomination in Florida, CNN projects
Live: Rep. Byron Donalds wins Republican nomination for Florida governor
Live: Byron Donalds wins the Republican primary for Florida governor, NBC News projects
WASHINGTON (AP) — Byron Donalds wins Republican nomination for governor in Florida
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Byron Donalds wins Republican nomination for governor in Florida
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 675,076 (49.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 339,870 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 137,965 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 675,076 (49.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 339,870 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 137,965 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 675,076 (49.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 339,870 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 137,965 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: While Byron Donalds has a large lead statewide in the Republican primary for governor in Florida, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins is currently leading in several rural, historically Republican counties in the northern part of the state which tend to have significantly lower percentages of residents with a college degree than the state as a whole.
Live: While Byron Donalds has a large lead statewide in the Republican primary for governor in Florida, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins is currently leading in several rural, historically Republican counties in the northern part of the state which tend to have significantly lower percentages of residents with a college degree than the state as a whole.
DDHQ Race Update (est. 64% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 534,160 (50.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 263,158 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 96,781 (9.1%) • Paul Renner (R): 89,864 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 64% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 534,160 (50.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 263,158 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 96,781 (9.1%) • Paul Renner (R): 89,864 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 64% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 534,160 (50.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 263,158 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 96,781 (9.1%) • Paul Renner (R): 89,864 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.