Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
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The market prices a 94% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES94¢
NO6¢
as of
What moved the odds?
17 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Early morning of September 10th! Apple officially announced its fall launch event, with its first foldable phone expected to be released.
Apple has sent out invitations to a presentation that will take place on September 9 at Apple Park, the company's headquarters in Cupertino. The event is expected to feature the first foldable iPhone and other new products, Axios reports. The presentation will begin at 10:00 a.m. local time (8:00 p.m. Moscow time) at the Steve Jobs Theater. The event will be Apple's first major event since the CEO change. American engineer and Apple top manager John Ternus will replace Tim Cook as the company's head on September 1. RBC Channel on Max RBC app for iOS and Android
Apple plans to unveil the first foldable iPhone on September 9, Axios reports. The company has sent out invitations to the event, according to the publication. In addition to the foldable smartphone, other new devices are expected to be unveiled. The event will be Apple's first major event under new CEO John Ternus, who will replace Tim Cook on September 1. Apple is preparing new devices amid growing demand for AI computing power, which is impacting the cost of RAM and other electronics components, Axios notes. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Axios: Apple to unveil first foldable iPhone on September 9
Apple to unveil "foldable" iPhone at new product event on September 10th
Apple to unveil "foldable" iPhone at new product event on September 10th
Apple set to debut foldable iPhone
Apple to launch $2,000-plus foldable ‘iPhone Ultra’ in early September: report
The first foldable iPhone has not yet been released; rumors suggest Apple has already planned for a third-generation model.
Also in Power On: Apple believes strongly in the foldable phone category and is already planning a second-generation model for 2027. That will be followed by a third version as early as 2028, with slightly larger displays on both the inside and outside.
In September, Apple is poised to debut its first foldable iPhone, a device that’s expected to cost $2,000-plus. A monthly price of somewhere between $60 and $70 for that phone will seem a lot more palatable.
[China Brief] Apple to Unveil Foldable Phone Early Next Year
Will the foldable iPhone be released on time? Release timing uncertain due to production difficulties.
Samsung has updated its line of foldable smartphones. The company unveiled three new models ahead of the release of the first foldable iPhone, writes Bloomberg. The company unveiled the Galaxy Z Flip 8, priced at $1,200, the Galaxy Z Fold 8, priced at $1,900, and the flagship Galaxy Z Fold 8 Ultra, priced at $2,100. The Fold 8 has received an updated design with a shorter and wider screen, which, according to Bloomberg, is better suited for watching videos, reading, and mobile games. As the agency notes, launching new devices at the end of July puts Samsung ahead of Apple, which is expected to unveil its first foldable iPhone in September. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android [in reply to: Samsung unveiled its first foldable smartphone with a triple flexible display, the Galaxy Z TriFold. The presentation took place in Seoul. The smartphone's unfolded size is 10 inches. Three screens can work independently of each other. The design folds inward to protect the main display, the manufacturer notes. Sales of the model in South Korea are scheduled to start on December 12. The price will be around $2,450. According to Counterpoint's forecast, the foldable smartphone market will grow by 14% this year. Then it will grow in the range of 30% in 2026 and 2027 if Apple also enters the flexible device segment. REUTERS / Kim Hong-Ji ]
$AAPL - APPLE'S FOLDABLE IPHONE MAY SELL OUT FAST • • Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo expects Apple's first foldable iPhone to see strong demand, with preorders potentially selling out quickly despite a $2,300–$2,500 price tag. • • Limited production could delay the launch until late 2026, with initial shipments of 7–8 million units expected in the second half of the year.
Apple IPhone Fold Release Date New Production Target. • Apple has raised its foldable iPhone production target to 10 million units, up from 7-8 million. At a predicted $2,500, here's what the numbers mean for buyers.
YESjukan0598%match83¢+13%
Samsung Secures D RAM Purchase Order from Apple for Foldable Phone • • Samsung Electronics has received a purchase order (PO) from Apple for DRAM to be used in its upcoming foldable phone. It has also been confirmed that Samsung successfully negotiated a significant year-over-year price increase. DRAM supply is set to proceed in line with Apple's foldable phone launch schedule. Apple is planning to release its foldable phone in the second half of this year. • • The supply volume is understood to be modest. As Apple's first foldable phone, many forecasts project annual shipments to remain in the low millions of units — less than 5% of Apple's total annual iPhone shipments. • • According to industry sources on the 9th, Samsung Electronics recently received a PO from Apple for 12GB LPDDR5X DRAM, which will be integrated into Apple's first foldable device. • • DRAM supply will be timed to Apple's foldable launch schedule. As Apple targets a second-half launch, Samsung is set to begin supplying DRAM from Q2 onwards. • • Apple is one of Samsung's key customers and has historically sourced memory at relatively favorable pricing given the scale of its demand. However, the latest contract reflects a notable price increase compared to prior years. • • A memory semiconductor industry source noted that the increase is understood to be nearly double compared to the prior year, while adding that even at the new pricing, Apple is still receiving supply at a discount relative to other customers. The source also commented that the sharp DRAM price increases since the second half of last year have been partially passed through to Apple as well. • • Beyond Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix and Micron are also believed to have secured DRAM POs for the Apple foldable, consistent with Apple's supply chain management strategy of maintaining multiple vendors. That said, Samsung — with the most available DRAM capacity — is expected to serve as the primary vendor for the foldable. • • On the display side, Samsung Display is the sole supplier for the Apple foldable's panel. Existing vendors LG Display and BOE have yet to establish stable mass production capabilities for foldable displays, leaving Samsung Display as the only viable option at this stage. • • Samsung Display has built up relevant technology and mass production experience through supplying panels for Samsung Electronics' own foldable lineup. Industry observers broadly expect Samsung Display to maintain exclusivity through the second and third generations of the Apple foldable. • • In connection with this, Samsung Display constructed a dedicated production line for the Apple foldable at its Asan, South Chungcheong Province facility last year, with full-scale mass production slated to begin in Q2 of this year. • • Given that this is Apple's first foldable, production volumes are expected to remain limited. Market research firms project Apple foldable shipments to come in at several million units this year — a constrained figure relative to Apple's annual smartphone sales base of approximately 250 million units. • • For component suppliers, however, the symbolic significance is considerable. Securing a position in Apple's high-end product supply chain is widely regarded as validation of both technological capability and reliability. • • $AAPL
Where does the news lean?
29YES4NO12neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 58% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.