Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?↑ 1650
Open$9Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES7¢
NO94¢
as of
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
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