Anthropic IPO by __?October 31, 2026
Open$1.2Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO99¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Anthropic is targeting a November IPO instead of October, according to the WSJ. #Arabic_Business
Antropic Likely to Postpone IPO from October to November… Following Q3 Earnings Release
NOReuters95%match95¢+4%
Exclusive-Anthropic IPO Could Be Postponed Until After US Midterm Elections, Sources Say
Anthropic Shifts Planned IPO to November -- WSJ
Antropic Aims for October IPO... NASDAQ Selected as Listing Exchange
Possibility of Antropic IPO Delayed by One Month… Listing Expected Just Before U.S. Midterm Elections
NOReuters97%match10¢+890%
Exclusive - Anthropic is Expected to Begin Marketing Its IPO in Mid-October at the Earliest, Sources Say
ANTHROPIC IPO ODDS BY OCTOBER 31 RISE TO 82% ON POLYMARKET • • The contract is up 40 points, and traded in the 40s earlier this month. • • Anthropic is preparing to file publicly for its IPO as soon as the end of August and expects to match or beat the size of SpaceX's record-setting listing, per Bloomberg. Anthropic is privately held. • • SpaceX $SPCX priced at $135 on June 11 and began trading on Nasdaq June 12.
Looks like we are now roughly 2 months away from the Anthropic IPO • • There is now a 74% chance that Anthropic goes public via an IPO before the end of October
YESdj96%match40¢-97%
*Anthropic Targeting Late September or Early October IPO, Sources Say -- WSJ
Antropic Accelerates October IPO... Begins Pre-investor Meetings
Where does the news lean?
23YES8NO8neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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