Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Odds fell to 80% on Sep 4, 2026

OpenMove

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 89.5¢ to 79.5¢ (-10 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from Reuters.

How did the odds move?

At match89.5¢
+5m84.5¢
+30m78.5¢
+1h79.5¢
1h move-10 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoReuters97%match
Exclusive - Anthropic is Expected to Begin Marketing Its IPO in Mid-October at the Earliest, Sources Say

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 84% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES84¢
NO17¢

Vol$642K

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Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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