Anthropic IPO by __?
Open7as of
Market pricing makes December 31, 2026 the favorite at 95% across 7 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
"All signs point to a very strong IPO." Joined @SquawkCNBC and @andrewrsorkin this morning to talk Anthropic — a prospectus likely right after Labor Day, an October listing, and revenue growth that hasn't slowed despite open source and the competition. • •
"All signs point to a very strong IPO." Joined @SquawkCNBC and @andrewrsorkin this morning to talk Anthropic — a prospectus likely right after Labor Day, an October listing, and revenue growth that hasn't slowed despite open source and the competition. • •
"All signs point to a very strong IPO." Joined @SquawkCNBC and @andrewrsorkin this morning to talk Anthropic — a prospectus likely right after Labor Day, an October listing, and revenue growth that hasn't slowed despite open source and the competition. • •
"All signs point to a very strong IPO." Joined @SquawkCNBC and @andrewrsorkin this morning to talk Anthropic — a prospectus likely right after Labor Day, an October listing, and revenue growth that hasn't slowed despite open source and the competition. • •
ANTHROPIC OVERTAKES SPACEX AS FAVORITE FOR LARGEST 2026 IPO ON POLYMARKET • • Anthropic: 63% • SpaceX: 37% • • The two flipped positions today. SpaceX held above 80% through early August and led as recently as this week. Total volume is $5.59M. • • Anthropic is preparing to file publicly for an IPO as soon as the end of August and expects to match or beat the size of SpaceX's listing, per Bloomberg. • • SpaceX $SPCX priced at $135 on June 11 and closed its Nasdaq debut at $160.95.
Anthropic IPO filing will show AI backlash as a risk factor, sources say
Anthropic IPO filing will show AI backlash as a risk factor, sources say
Anthropique to release IPO prospectus as early as August, according to US media reports.
Anthropique to release IPO prospectus as early as August, according to US media reports.
Anthropique to release IPO prospectus as early as August, according to US media reports.
Anthropique to release IPO prospectus as early as August, according to US media reports.
Anthropic aims for the world's largest IPO, with filing as early as August. A new system is also being launched, and there's a major policy shift regarding corporate data.
Anthropic aims for the world's largest IPO, with filing as early as August. A new system is also being launched, and there's a major policy shift regarding corporate data.
It's actually a cointoss: odds Anthropic has the largest IPO of 2026 (i.e. surpasses SpaceX) are up to 48%, doubling in the last week
ANTHROPIC IPO ODDS BY OCTOBER 31 RISE TO 82% ON POLYMARKET • • The contract is up 40 points, and traded in the 40s earlier this month. • • Anthropic is preparing to file publicly for its IPO as soon as the end of August and expects to match or beat the size of SpaceX's record-setting listing, per Bloomberg. Anthropic is privately held. • • SpaceX $SPCX priced at $135 on June 11 and began trading on Nasdaq June 12.
There is now an 84% chance we are less than 1.5 months away from Anthropic going public through a IPO in the United States
There is now an 84% chance we are less than 1.5 months away from Anthropic going public through a IPO in the United States
There is now an 84% chance we are less than 1.5 months away from Anthropic going public through a IPO in the United States
There is now an 84% chance we are less than 1.5 months away from Anthropic going public through a IPO in the United States
ANTHROPIC TO PREPARE IPO FILING AS SOON AS END OF AUGUST
ANTHROPIC TO PREPARE IPO FILING AS SOON AS END OF AUGUST
ANTHROPIC TO PREPARE IPO FILING AS SOON AS END OF AUGUST
ANTHROPIC TO PREPARE IPO FILING AS SOON AS END OF AUGUST
ANTHROPIC PREPARES TO FILE PUBLICLY FOR IPO AS SOON AS THE END OF AUGUST
ANTHROPIC PREPARES TO FILE PUBLICLY FOR IPO AS SOON AS THE END OF AUGUST
ANTHROPIC PREPARES TO FILE PUBLICLY FOR IPO AS SOON AS THE END OF AUGUST
Anthropic Prepares to File Publicly for Its Potential Mega-IPO as Soon as the End of August- Bloomberg News
Anthropic Prepares to File Publicly for Its Potential Mega-IPO as Soon as the End of August- Bloomberg News
Anthropic Prepares to File Publicly for Its Potential Mega-IPO as Soon as the End of August- Bloomberg News
Anthropic Prepares to File Publicly for Its Potential Mega-IPO as Soon as the End of August- Bloomberg News
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.