Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 61% on Aug 11, 2026
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Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 39.5¢ to 60.5¢ (+21 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from dj.
How did the odds move?
39.5¢
62.5¢
59.5¢
60.5¢
65.5¢
+21 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Aug 11, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 52.5¢ → 60.5¢+8 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
What moved the odds?
Yesdj96%match
*Anthropic Targeting Late September or Early October IPO, Sources Say -- WSJ
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 91% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES91¢
NO10¢
$598K
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Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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