Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Odds fell to 4% on Sep 18, 2026

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? On Sep 18, 2026, 21:27 UTC, the market’s odds fell from 15¢ to 3.6¢ (-11.4 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from News. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen Sep 18, 2026, 21:27 UTC. The triggering signal is listed first.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of Nov 3, 2026, 05:04 UTC.

Vol$1.5M

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Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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